KalshiActive

2026 is the hottest year ever?

Name: 2026 is the hottest year ever?
Start: 2025-12-22T15:00:00Z
End: 2027-04-01T15:00:00Z

Event Ticker: KXGTEMP-27
Category: Climate and Weather
24h Volume: 0
Expiration: Apr 1, 2027, 3:00 PM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Active

Yes

16.50%

83.50%

Market Ticker: KXGTEMP-27-P0
Last Price: 20¢ (20.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 14¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 86¢
Open Interest: 378
Volume (24h): 0

Rules

If the unsmoothed Land-Ocean Temperature Index value for 2026 reported by NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) is above 2025 value and 1.28 degrees Celsius, then the market resolves to Yes.