KalshiActive

2026: Trump's dream year?

Event Ticker
KXTRUMPBULLCASECOMBO-27DEC
Category
Politics
24h Volume
11.18K
Expiration
Jan 7, 2028, 3:00 PM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Will the bull case for Trump occur in 2026?

Active

Yes

11.50%

No

88.50%

Market Ticker
KXTRUMPBULLCASECOMBO-27DEC-26
Last Price
12¢ (12.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
11¢ / 12¢
No Bid / Ask
88¢ / 89¢
Open Interest
67.52K
Volume (24h)
11.18K

Rules

If ALL of the following occur: Trump's VoteHub approval rating rises above 48% in 2026 AND Republicans retain control of both the House of Representatives and Senate after the midterms AND U.S. GDP growth is above 5% in any quarter between Q4 2025 and Q4 2026 (inclusive) AND the U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) stays below 5% in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.