Will the bull case for Trump occur in 2026?
ActiveYes
11.50%
No
88.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXTRUMPBULLCASECOMBO-27DEC-26
- Last Price
- 12¢ (12.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 11¢ / 12¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 88¢ / 89¢
- Open Interest
- 67.52K
- Volume (24h)
- 11.18K
Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.
Yes
11.50%
No
88.50%
If ALL of the following occur: Trump's VoteHub approval rating rises above 48% in 2026 AND Republicans retain control of both the House of Representatives and Senate after the midterms AND U.S. GDP growth is above 5% in any quarter between Q4 2025 and Q4 2026 (inclusive) AND the U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) stays below 5% in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.