KalshiActive

8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?

Event Ticker
KXEARTHQUAKEJAPAN-30
Category
Climate and Weather
24h Volume
113
Expiration
Jan 8, 2030, 3:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

0%25%50%75%100%Aug 19Mar 14
  • Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?

    Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?

Active

Yes

51.50%

No

48.50%

Market Ticker
KXEARTHQUAKEJAPAN-30
Last Price
65¢ (65.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
40¢ / 63¢
No Bid / Ask
37¢ / 60¢
Open Interest
11.32K
Volume (24h)
113

Rules

If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in Japan or its territorial waters before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.