Gemini:: Google
ActiveYes
56.00%
No
44.00%
- Market Ticker
- KXLLM1-26DEC31-GOOG
- Last Price
- 54¢ (54.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 54¢ / 58¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 42¢ / 46¢
- Open Interest
- 87.21K
- Volume (24h)
- 3.16K
KalshiActive
Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Event Ticker
- KXLLM1-26DEC31
- Category
- Science and Technology
- 24h Volume
- 812
- Expiration
- Jan 31, 2027, 3:00 PM
Probability History
Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy
- Gemini:: Google
Latest: 0.00%
- Grok:: xAI
Latest: 0.00%
- ChatGPT:: OpenAI
Latest: 0.00%
Market Overview
Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.
Markets
Grok:: xAI
ActiveYes
20.50%
No
79.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXLLM1-26DEC31-XAI
- Last Price
- 19¢ (19.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 19¢ / 22¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 78¢ / 81¢
- Open Interest
- 76.03K
- Volume (24h)
- 812
ChatGPT:: OpenAI
ActiveYes
16.50%
No
83.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXLLM1-26DEC31-OAI
- Last Price
- 17¢ (17.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 16¢ / 17¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 83¢ / 84¢
- Open Interest
- 65.51K
- Volume (24h)
- 627
Claude:: Anthropic
ActiveYes
9.50%
No
90.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXLLM1-26DEC31-A
- Last Price
- 10¢ (10.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 9¢ / 10¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 90¢ / 91¢
- Open Interest
- 56.42K
- Volume (24h)
- 715
LLaMA:: Meta
ActiveYes
1.50%
No
98.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXLLM1-26DEC31-META
- Last Price
- 2¢ (2.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 1¢ / 2¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 98¢ / 99¢
- Open Interest
- 32.04K
- Volume (24h)
- 1.1K
Ernie:: Baidu
ActiveYes
1.50%
No
98.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXLLM1-26DEC31-BAID
- Last Price
- 2¢ (2.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 1¢ / 2¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 98¢ / 99¢
- Open Interest
- 32.93K
- Volume (24h)
- 181
Qwen:: Alibaba
ActiveYes
0.50%
No
99.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXLLM1-26DEC31-ALI
- Last Price
- 1¢ (1.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 1¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 99¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 32.71K
- Volume (24h)
- 93
Rules
If xAI has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.