KalshiActive

Bitcoin price range on Jan 21, 2026 at 10pm EST?

Name: Bitcoin price range on Jan 21, 2026 at 10pm EST?
Start: 2026-01-22T02:00:00Z
End: 2026-01-29T03:00:00Z

Event Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122
Category: Crypto
24h Volume: 0
Expiration: Jan 29, 2026, 3:00 AM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

$90,000 to 90,249.99
Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

$90,000 to 90,249.99

Active

Yes

38.00%

62.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B90125
Last Price: 37¢ (37.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 36¢ / 40¢
No Bid / Ask: 60¢ / 64¢
Open Interest: 769
Volume (24h): 541

$89,750 to 89,999.99

Active

Yes

29.00%

71.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B89875
Last Price: 30¢ (30.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 27¢ / 31¢
No Bid / Ask: 69¢ / 73¢
Open Interest: 376
Volume (24h): 394

$90,250 to 90,499.99

Active

Yes

17.00%

83.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B90375
Last Price: 14¢ (14.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 16¢ / 18¢
No Bid / Ask: 82¢ / 84¢
Open Interest: 41
Volume (24h): 31

$89,500 to 89,749.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B89625
Last Price: 13¢ (13.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 7¢ / 12¢
No Bid / Ask: 88¢ / 93¢
Open Interest: 35
Volume (24h): 35

$90,500 to 90,749.99

Active

Yes

3.50%

96.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B90625
Last Price: 8¢ (8.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 2¢ / 5¢
No Bid / Ask: 95¢ / 98¢
Open Interest: 13
Volume (24h): 13

$89,250 to 89,499.99

Active

Yes

3.50%

96.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B89375
Last Price: 6¢ (6.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 2¢ / 5¢
No Bid / Ask: 95¢ / 98¢
Open Interest: 4
Volume (24h): 4

$89,000 to 89,249.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B89125
Last Price: 8¢ (8.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 3
Volume (24h): 3

$100,000 or above

Active

Yes

39.00%

61.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-T99999.99
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 78¢
No Bid / Ask: 22¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$81,749.99 or below

Active

Yes

2.50%

97.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-T81750
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 5¢
No Bid / Ask: 95¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$99,750 to 99,999.99

Active

Yes

39.00%

61.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B99875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 78¢
No Bid / Ask: 22¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$99,500 to 99,749.99

Active

Yes

39.00%

61.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B99625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 78¢
No Bid / Ask: 22¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$99,250 to 99,499.99

Active

Yes

39.00%

61.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B99375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 78¢
No Bid / Ask: 22¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$99,000 to 99,249.99

Active

Yes

39.00%

61.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B99125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 78¢
No Bid / Ask: 22¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$98,750 to 98,999.99

Active

Yes

39.00%

61.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B98875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 78¢
No Bid / Ask: 22¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$98,500 to 98,749.99

Active

Yes

39.00%

61.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B98625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 78¢
No Bid / Ask: 22¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$98,250 to 98,499.99

Active

Yes

39.00%

61.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B98375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 78¢
No Bid / Ask: 22¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$98,000 to 98,249.99

Active

Yes

39.00%

61.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B98125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 78¢
No Bid / Ask: 22¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$97,750 to 97,999.99

Active

Yes

39.00%

61.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B97875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 78¢
No Bid / Ask: 22¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$97,500 to 97,749.99

Active

Yes

39.00%

61.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B97625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 78¢
No Bid / Ask: 22¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$97,250 to 97,499.99

Active

Yes

39.00%

61.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B97375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 78¢
No Bid / Ask: 22¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$97,000 to 97,249.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B97125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$96,750 to 96,999.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B96875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$96,500 to 96,749.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B96625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$96,250 to 96,499.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B96375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$96,000 to 96,249.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B96125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$95,750 to 95,999.99

Active

Yes

9.00%

91.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B95875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 18¢
No Bid / Ask: 82¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$95,500 to 95,749.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B95625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$95,250 to 95,499.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B95375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$95,000 to 95,249.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B95125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$94,750 to 94,999.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B94875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$94,500 to 94,749.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B94625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$94,250 to 94,499.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B94375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$94,000 to 94,249.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B94125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$93,750 to 93,999.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B93875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$93,500 to 93,749.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B93625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$93,250 to 93,499.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B93375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$93,000 to 93,249.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B93125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$92,750 to 92,999.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B92875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$92,500 to 92,749.99

Active

Yes

10.00%

90.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B92625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 20¢
No Bid / Ask: 80¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$92,250 to 92,499.99

Active

Yes

10.00%

90.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B92375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 20¢
No Bid / Ask: 80¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$92,000 to 92,249.99

Active

Yes

10.00%

90.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B92125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 20¢
No Bid / Ask: 80¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$91,750 to 91,999.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B91875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$91,500 to 91,749.99

Active

Yes

10.00%

90.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B91625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 20¢
No Bid / Ask: 80¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$91,250 to 91,499.99

Active

Yes

10.00%

90.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B91375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 20¢
No Bid / Ask: 80¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$91,000 to 91,249.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B91125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$90,750 to 90,999.99

Active

Yes

9.00%

91.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B90875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 18¢
No Bid / Ask: 82¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$88,750 to 88,999.99

Active

Yes

10.00%

90.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B88875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 20¢
No Bid / Ask: 80¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$88,500 to 88,749.99

Active

Yes

10.00%

90.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B88625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 20¢
No Bid / Ask: 80¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$88,250 to 88,499.99

Active

Yes

10.00%

90.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B88375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 20¢
No Bid / Ask: 80¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$88,000 to 88,249.99

Active

Yes

10.00%

90.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B88125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 20¢
No Bid / Ask: 80¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$87,750 to 87,999.99

Active

Yes

10.00%

90.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B87875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 20¢
No Bid / Ask: 80¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$87,500 to 87,749.99

Active

Yes

10.00%

90.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B87625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 20¢
No Bid / Ask: 80¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$87,250 to 87,499.99

Active

Yes

10.00%

90.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B87375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 20¢
No Bid / Ask: 80¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$87,000 to 87,249.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B87125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$86,750 to 86,999.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B86875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$86,500 to 86,749.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B86625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$86,250 to 86,499.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B86375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$86,000 to 86,249.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B86125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$85,750 to 85,999.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B85875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$85,500 to 85,749.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B85625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$85,250 to 85,499.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B85375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$85,000 to 85,249.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B85125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$84,750 to 84,999.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B84875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$84,500 to 84,749.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B84625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$84,250 to 84,499.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B84375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$84,000 to 84,249.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B84125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$83,750 to 83,999.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B83875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$83,500 to 83,749.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B83625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$83,250 to 83,499.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B83375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$83,000 to 83,249.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B83125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$82,750 to 82,999.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B82875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$82,500 to 82,749.99

Active

Yes

39.50%

60.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B82625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 79¢
No Bid / Ask: 21¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$82,250 to 82,499.99

Active

Yes

39.50%

60.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B82375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 79¢
No Bid / Ask: 21¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$82,000 to 82,249.99

Active

Yes

39.50%

60.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B82125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 79¢
No Bid / Ask: 21¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$81,750 to 81,999.99

Active

Yes

39.50%

60.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2122-B81875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 79¢
No Bid / Ask: 21¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

Rules

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 10 PM EST is above 99999.99 at 10 PM EST on Jan 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.