KalshiActive

Bitcoin price range on Jan 23, 2026 at 1pm EST?

Name: Bitcoin price range on Jan 23, 2026 at 1pm EST?
Start: 2026-01-23T17:00:00Z
End: 2026-01-30T18:00:00Z

Event Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313
Category: Crypto
24h Volume: 0
Expiration: Jan 30, 2026, 6:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

$90,000 to 90,249.99
Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

$90,000 to 90,249.99

Active

Yes

27.50%

72.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B90125
Last Price: 29¢ (29.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 26¢ / 29¢
No Bid / Ask: 71¢ / 74¢
Open Interest: 3.18K
Volume (24h): 3.19K

$89,750 to 89,999.99

Active

Yes

19.50%

80.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B89875
Last Price: 24¢ (24.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 19¢ / 20¢
No Bid / Ask: 80¢ / 81¢
Open Interest: 2.8K
Volume (24h): 2.61K

$90,500 to 90,749.99

Active

Yes

13.00%

87.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B90625
Last Price: 12¢ (12.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 12¢ / 14¢
No Bid / Ask: 86¢ / 88¢
Open Interest: 2.18K
Volume (24h): 262

$89,500 to 89,749.99

Active

Yes

10.00%

90.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B89625
Last Price: 13¢ (13.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 8¢ / 12¢
No Bid / Ask: 88¢ / 92¢
Open Interest: 2.18K
Volume (24h): 384

$90,250 to 90,499.99

Active

Yes

24.50%

75.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B90375
Last Price: 23¢ (23.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 23¢ / 26¢
No Bid / Ask: 74¢ / 77¢
Open Interest: 497
Volume (24h): 491

$90,750 to 90,999.99

Active

Yes

5.50%

94.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B90875
Last Price: 2¢ (2.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 4¢ / 7¢
No Bid / Ask: 93¢ / 96¢
Open Interest: 52
Volume (24h): 52

$89,250 to 89,499.99

Active

Yes

4.00%

96.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B89375
Last Price: 8¢ (8.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 3¢ / 5¢
No Bid / Ask: 95¢ / 97¢
Open Interest: 6
Volume (24h): 5

$89,000 to 89,249.99

Active

Yes

2.50%

97.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B89125
Last Price: 5¢ (5.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 2¢ / 3¢
No Bid / Ask: 97¢ / 98¢
Open Interest: 1
Volume (24h): 1

$99,000 or above

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-T98999.99
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$80,749.99 or below

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-T80750
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$98,750 to 98,999.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B98875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$98,500 to 98,749.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B98625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$98,250 to 98,499.99

Active

Yes

1.50%

98.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B98375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 3¢
No Bid / Ask: 97¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$98,000 to 98,249.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B98125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$97,750 to 97,999.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B97875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$97,500 to 97,749.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B97625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$97,250 to 97,499.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B97375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$97,000 to 97,249.99

Active

Yes

1.50%

98.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B97125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 3¢
No Bid / Ask: 97¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$96,750 to 96,999.99

Active

Yes

1.50%

98.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B96875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 3¢
No Bid / Ask: 97¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$96,500 to 96,749.99

Active

Yes

1.50%

98.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B96625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 3¢
No Bid / Ask: 97¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$96,250 to 96,499.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B96375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$96,000 to 96,249.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B96125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$95,750 to 95,999.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B95875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$95,500 to 95,749.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B95625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$95,250 to 95,499.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B95375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$95,000 to 95,249.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B95125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$94,750 to 94,999.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B94875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$94,500 to 94,749.99

Active

Yes

1.50%

98.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B94625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 3¢
No Bid / Ask: 97¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$94,250 to 94,499.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B94375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$94,000 to 94,249.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B94125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$93,750 to 93,999.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B93875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$93,500 to 93,749.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B93625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$93,250 to 93,499.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B93375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$93,000 to 93,249.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B93125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$92,750 to 92,999.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B92875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$92,500 to 92,749.99

Active

Yes

1.50%

98.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B92625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 3¢
No Bid / Ask: 97¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$92,250 to 92,499.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B92375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$92,000 to 92,249.99

Active

Yes

1.50%

98.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B92125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 3¢
No Bid / Ask: 97¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$91,750 to 91,999.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B91875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$91,500 to 91,749.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B91625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$91,250 to 91,499.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B91375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$91,000 to 91,249.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B91125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 1¢ / 3¢
No Bid / Ask: 97¢ / 99¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$88,750 to 88,999.99

Active

Yes

1.50%

98.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B88875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 3¢
No Bid / Ask: 97¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$88,500 to 88,749.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B88625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$88,250 to 88,499.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B88375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$88,000 to 88,249.99

Active

Yes

1.50%

98.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B88125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 3¢
No Bid / Ask: 97¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$87,750 to 87,999.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B87875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$87,500 to 87,749.99

Active

Yes

1.50%

98.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B87625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 3¢
No Bid / Ask: 97¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$87,250 to 87,499.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B87375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$87,000 to 87,249.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B87125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$86,750 to 86,999.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B86875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$86,500 to 86,749.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B86625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$86,250 to 86,499.99

Active

Yes

1.50%

98.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B86375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 3¢
No Bid / Ask: 97¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$86,000 to 86,249.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B86125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$85,750 to 85,999.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B85875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$85,500 to 85,749.99

Active

Yes

1.50%

98.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B85625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 3¢
No Bid / Ask: 97¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$85,250 to 85,499.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B85375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$85,000 to 85,249.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B85125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$84,750 to 84,999.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B84875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$84,500 to 84,749.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B84625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$84,250 to 84,499.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B84375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$84,000 to 84,249.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B84125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$83,750 to 83,999.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B83875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$83,500 to 83,749.99

Active

Yes

1.50%

98.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B83625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 3¢
No Bid / Ask: 97¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$83,250 to 83,499.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B83375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$83,000 to 83,249.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B83125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$82,750 to 82,999.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B82875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$82,500 to 82,749.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B82625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$82,250 to 82,499.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B82375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$82,000 to 82,249.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B82125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$81,750 to 81,999.99

Active

Yes

1.50%

98.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B81875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 3¢
No Bid / Ask: 97¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$81,500 to 81,749.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B81625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$81,250 to 81,499.99

Active

Yes

1.50%

98.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B81375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 3¢
No Bid / Ask: 97¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$81,000 to 81,249.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B81125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$80,750 to 80,999.99

Active

Yes

2.00%

98.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2313-B80875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

Rules

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 1 PM EST is above 98999.99 at 1 PM EST on Jan 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.