KalshiActive

Bitcoin price range on Jan 25, 2026 at 8am EST?

Name: Bitcoin price range on Jan 25, 2026 at 8am EST?
Start: 2026-01-25T12:00:00Z
End: 2026-02-01T13:00:00Z

Event Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508
Category: Crypto
24h Volume: 0
Expiration: Feb 1, 2026, 1:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

$88,250 to 88,499.99
Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

$88,250 to 88,499.99

Active

Yes

39.00%

61.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B88375
Last Price: 51¢ (51.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 32¢ / 46¢
No Bid / Ask: 54¢ / 68¢
Open Interest: 4.35K
Volume (24h): 4.31K

$88,500 to 88,749.99

Active

Yes

40.00%

60.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B88625
Last Price: 47¢ (47.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 33¢ / 47¢
No Bid / Ask: 53¢ / 67¢
Open Interest: 2.44K
Volume (24h): 1.47K

$88,000 to 88,249.99

Active

Yes

9.00%

91.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B88125
Last Price: 15¢ (15.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 4¢ / 14¢
No Bid / Ask: 86¢ / 96¢
Open Interest: 765
Volume (24h): 989

$98,500 or above

Active

Yes

38.00%

62.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-T98499.99
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 76¢
No Bid / Ask: 24¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$80,249.99 or below

Active

Yes

0.00%

100.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-T80250
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 0¢
No Bid / Ask: 100¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$98,250 to 98,499.99

Active

Yes

38.50%

61.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B98375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 77¢
No Bid / Ask: 23¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$98,000 to 98,249.99

Active

Yes

38.50%

61.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B98125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 77¢
No Bid / Ask: 23¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$97,750 to 97,999.99

Active

Yes

38.50%

61.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B97875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 77¢
No Bid / Ask: 23¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$97,500 to 97,749.99

Active

Yes

38.50%

61.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B97625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 77¢
No Bid / Ask: 23¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$97,250 to 97,499.99

Active

Yes

38.50%

61.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B97375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 77¢
No Bid / Ask: 23¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$97,000 to 97,249.99

Active

Yes

38.50%

61.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B97125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 77¢
No Bid / Ask: 23¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$96,750 to 96,999.99

Active

Yes

38.50%

61.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B96875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 77¢
No Bid / Ask: 23¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$96,500 to 96,749.99

Active

Yes

38.50%

61.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B96625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 77¢
No Bid / Ask: 23¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$96,250 to 96,499.99

Active

Yes

38.50%

61.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B96375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 77¢
No Bid / Ask: 23¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$96,000 to 96,249.99

Active

Yes

38.50%

61.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B96125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 77¢
No Bid / Ask: 23¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$95,750 to 95,999.99

Active

Yes

38.50%

61.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B95875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 77¢
No Bid / Ask: 23¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$95,500 to 95,749.99

Active

Yes

38.50%

61.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B95625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 77¢
No Bid / Ask: 23¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$95,250 to 95,499.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B95375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$95,000 to 95,249.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B95125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$94,750 to 94,999.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B94875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$94,500 to 94,749.99

Active

Yes

9.00%

91.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B94625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 18¢
No Bid / Ask: 82¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$94,250 to 94,499.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B94375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$94,000 to 94,249.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B94125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$93,750 to 93,999.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B93875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$93,500 to 93,749.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B93625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$93,250 to 93,499.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B93375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$93,000 to 93,249.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B93125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$92,750 to 92,999.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B92875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$92,500 to 92,749.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B92625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$92,250 to 92,499.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B92375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$92,000 to 92,249.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B92125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$91,750 to 91,999.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B91875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$91,500 to 91,749.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B91625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$91,250 to 91,499.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B91375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$91,000 to 91,249.99

Active

Yes

10.00%

90.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B91125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 20¢
No Bid / Ask: 80¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$90,750 to 90,999.99

Active

Yes

10.00%

90.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B90875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 20¢
No Bid / Ask: 80¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$90,500 to 90,749.99

Active

Yes

10.00%

90.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B90625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 20¢
No Bid / Ask: 80¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$90,250 to 90,499.99

Active

Yes

10.00%

90.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B90375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 20¢
No Bid / Ask: 80¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$90,000 to 90,249.99

Active

Yes

9.00%

91.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B90125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 18¢
No Bid / Ask: 82¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$89,750 to 89,999.99

Active

Yes

10.00%

90.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B89875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 20¢
No Bid / Ask: 80¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$89,500 to 89,749.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B89625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$89,250 to 89,499.99

Active

Yes

10.00%

90.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B89375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 20¢
No Bid / Ask: 80¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$89,000 to 89,249.99

Active

Yes

10.00%

90.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B89125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 20¢
No Bid / Ask: 80¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$88,750 to 88,999.99

Active

Yes

7.00%

93.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B88875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 3¢ / 11¢
No Bid / Ask: 89¢ / 97¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$87,750 to 87,999.99

Active

Yes

4.00%

96.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B87875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 8¢
No Bid / Ask: 92¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$87,500 to 87,749.99

Active

Yes

10.00%

90.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B87625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 20¢
No Bid / Ask: 80¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$87,250 to 87,499.99

Active

Yes

10.00%

90.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B87375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 20¢
No Bid / Ask: 80¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$87,000 to 87,249.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B87125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$86,750 to 86,999.99

Active

Yes

10.00%

90.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B86875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 20¢
No Bid / Ask: 80¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$86,500 to 86,749.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B86625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$86,250 to 86,499.99

Active

Yes

10.00%

90.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B86375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 20¢
No Bid / Ask: 80¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$86,000 to 86,249.99

Active

Yes

10.00%

90.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B86125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 20¢
No Bid / Ask: 80¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$85,750 to 85,999.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B85875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$85,500 to 85,749.99

Active

Yes

10.00%

90.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B85625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 20¢
No Bid / Ask: 80¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$85,250 to 85,499.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B85375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$85,000 to 85,249.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B85125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$84,750 to 84,999.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B84875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$84,500 to 84,749.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B84625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$84,250 to 84,499.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B84375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$84,000 to 84,249.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B84125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$83,750 to 83,999.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B83875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$83,500 to 83,749.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B83625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$83,250 to 83,499.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B83375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$83,000 to 83,249.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B83125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$82,750 to 82,999.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B82875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$82,500 to 82,749.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B82625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$82,250 to 82,499.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B82375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$82,000 to 82,249.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B82125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$81,750 to 81,999.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B81875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$81,500 to 81,749.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B81625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$81,250 to 81,499.99

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B81375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$81,000 to 81,249.99

Active

Yes

0.00%

100.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B81125
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 0¢
No Bid / Ask: 100¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$80,750 to 80,999.99

Active

Yes

0.00%

100.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B80875
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 0¢
No Bid / Ask: 100¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$80,500 to 80,749.99

Active

Yes

0.00%

100.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B80625
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 0¢
No Bid / Ask: 100¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

$80,250 to 80,499.99

Active

Yes

0.00%

100.00%

Market Ticker: KXBTC-26JAN2508-B80375
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 0¢
No Bid / Ask: 100¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

Rules

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 8 AM EST is above 98499.99 at 8 AM EST on Jan 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.