KalshiActive

Closest Senate race in 2026?

Event Ticker
KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03
Category
Elections
24h Volume
492
Expiration
Jan 10, 2027, 3:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 24Mar 13
  • Will Texas have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?

    Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Will Georgia have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?

Active

Yes

17.50%

No

82.50%

Market Ticker
KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-GA
Last Price
20¢ (20.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
16¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask
81¢ / 84¢
Open Interest
4.46K
Volume (24h)
989

Will Ohio have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?

Active

Yes

15.00%

No

85.00%

Market Ticker
KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-OH
Last Price
14¢ (14.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
14¢ / 16¢
No Bid / Ask
84¢ / 86¢
Open Interest
2.41K
Volume (24h)
712

Will Texas have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?

Active

Yes

10.00%

No

90.00%

Market Ticker
KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-TX
Last Price
13¢ (13.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
8¢ / 12¢
No Bid / Ask
88¢ / 92¢
Open Interest
1.68K
Volume (24h)
0

Will Maine have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?

Active

Yes

13.50%

No

86.50%

Market Ticker
KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-ME
Last Price
15¢ (15.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
12¢ / 15¢
No Bid / Ask
85¢ / 88¢
Open Interest
1.48K
Volume (24h)
25

Will Alaska have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?

Active

Yes

10.50%

No

89.50%

Market Ticker
KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-AK
Last Price
11¢ (11.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
9¢ / 12¢
No Bid / Ask
88¢ / 91¢
Open Interest
1.43K
Volume (24h)
492

Will Iowa have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?

Active

Yes

10.00%

No

90.00%

Market Ticker
KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-IA
Last Price
12¢ (12.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
9¢ / 11¢
No Bid / Ask
89¢ / 91¢
Open Interest
1.34K
Volume (24h)
0

Will North Carolina have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?

Active

Yes

10.50%

No

89.50%

Market Ticker
KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-NC
Last Price
12¢ (12.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
10¢ / 11¢
No Bid / Ask
89¢ / 90¢
Open Interest
1.33K
Volume (24h)
0

Will Michigan have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?

Active

Yes

9.00%

No

91.00%

Market Ticker
KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-MI
Last Price
10¢ (10.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
8¢ / 10¢
No Bid / Ask
90¢ / 92¢
Open Interest
730
Volume (24h)
4

Will New Hampshire have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?

Active

Yes

6.00%

No

94.00%

Market Ticker
KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-NH
Last Price
8¢ (8.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
4¢ / 8¢
No Bid / Ask
92¢ / 96¢
Open Interest
749
Volume (24h)
82

Will Minnesota have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?

Active

Yes

3.00%

No

97.00%

Market Ticker
KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-MN
Last Price
4¢ (4.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
2¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask
96¢ / 98¢
Open Interest
69
Volume (24h)
0

Rules

If Alaska has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.