Cut 25bps
ActiveYes
25.50%
No
74.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXFEDDECISION-26DEC-C25
- Last Price
- 26¢ (26.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 22¢ / 29¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 71¢ / 78¢
- Open Interest
- 1.02K
- Volume (24h)
- 0
KalshiActive
Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Event Ticker
- KXFEDDECISION-26DEC
- Category
- Economics
- 24h Volume
- 0
- Expiration
- Mar 10, 2027, 7:01 PM
Probability History
Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy
- Cut 25bps
Latest: 0.00%
- Hike 0bps
Latest: 0.00%
- Hike 25bps
Latest: 0.00%
Market Overview
Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.
Markets
Hike 0bps
ActiveYes
70.50%
No
29.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXFEDDECISION-26DEC-H0
- Last Price
- 71¢ (71.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 65¢ / 76¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 24¢ / 35¢
- Open Interest
- 500
- Volume (24h)
- 0
Hike 25bps
ActiveYes
1.00%
No
99.00%
- Market Ticker
- KXFEDDECISION-26DEC-H25
- Last Price
- 3¢ (3.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 2¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 98¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 124
- Volume (24h)
- 0
Hike >25bps
ActiveYes
1.00%
No
99.00%
- Market Ticker
- KXFEDDECISION-26DEC-H26
- Last Price
- 0¢ (0.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 2¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 98¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 0
- Volume (24h)
- 0
Cut >25bps
ActiveYes
3.50%
No
96.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXFEDDECISION-26DEC-C26
- Last Price
- 0¢ (0.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 7¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 93¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 0
- Volume (24h)
- 0
Rules
If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of >25bps on December 09, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.