KalshiActive

Fed decision in Oct 2026?

Event Ticker
KXFEDDECISION-26OCT
Category
Economics
24h Volume
0
Expiration
Jan 27, 2027, 6:01 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29Mar 12
  • Hike 0bps

    Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Hike 0bps

Active

Yes

71.50%

No

28.50%

Market Ticker
KXFEDDECISION-26OCT-H0
Last Price
74¢ (74.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
67¢ / 76¢
No Bid / Ask
24¢ / 33¢
Open Interest
100
Volume (24h)
0

Cut 25bps

Active

Yes

24.00%

No

76.00%

Market Ticker
KXFEDDECISION-26OCT-C25
Last Price
21¢ (21.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
20¢ / 28¢
No Bid / Ask
72¢ / 80¢
Open Interest
56
Volume (24h)
0

Hike 25bps

Active

Yes

2.50%

No

97.50%

Market Ticker
KXFEDDECISION-26OCT-H25
Last Price
(3.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
95¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
31
Volume (24h)
0

Hike >25bps

Active

Yes

2.50%

No

97.50%

Market Ticker
KXFEDDECISION-26OCT-H26
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
95¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

Cut >25bps

Active

Yes

5.00%

No

95.00%

Market Ticker
KXFEDDECISION-26OCT-C26
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
91¢ / 99¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

Rules

If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of >25bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.