3.50%
ActiveYes
97.50%
No
2.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXFED-26JAN-T3.50
- Last Price
- 97¢ (97.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 97¢ / 98¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 2¢ / 3¢
- Open Interest
- 260.35K
- Volume (24h)
- 51.1K
KalshiActive
Fed funds rate after Jan 2026 meeting?
- Event Ticker
- KXFED-26JAN
- Category
- Economics
- 24h Volume
- 935
- Expiration
- Feb 4, 2026, 7:05 PM
Probability History
Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy
- 3.50%
Latest: 0.00%
Market Overview
Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.
Markets
3.75%
ActiveYes
1.00%
No
99.00%
- Market Ticker
- KXFED-26JAN-T3.75
- Last Price
- 2¢ (2.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 2¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 98¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 155.15K
- Volume (24h)
- 12.39K
4.50%
ActiveYes
0.50%
No
99.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXFED-26JAN-T4.50
- Last Price
- 1¢ (1.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 1¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 99¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 61.37K
- Volume (24h)
- 7.53K
4.00%
ActiveYes
1.00%
No
99.00%
- Market Ticker
- KXFED-26JAN-T4.00
- Last Price
- 2¢ (2.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 2¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 98¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 44.19K
- Volume (24h)
- 2.8K
4.25%
ActiveYes
0.50%
No
99.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXFED-26JAN-T4.25
- Last Price
- 1¢ (1.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 1¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 99¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 43.2K
- Volume (24h)
- 2.17K
4.75%
ActiveYes
0.50%
No
99.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXFED-26JAN-T4.75
- Last Price
- 1¢ (1.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 1¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 99¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 17.47K
- Volume (24h)
- 0
5.00%
ActiveYes
0.50%
No
99.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXFED-26JAN-T5.00
- Last Price
- 1¢ (1.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 1¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 99¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 9.79K
- Volume (24h)
- 0
5.25%
ActiveYes
0.50%
No
99.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXFED-26JAN-T5.25
- Last Price
- 1¢ (1.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 1¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 99¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 6.26K
- Volume (24h)
- 935
3.00%
ActiveYes
99.50%
No
0.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXFED-26JAN-T3.00
- Last Price
- 99¢ (99.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 99¢ / 100¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 1¢
- Open Interest
- 4.17K
- Volume (24h)
- 0
2.75%
ActiveYes
99.50%
No
0.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXFED-26JAN-T2.75
- Last Price
- 99¢ (99.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 99¢ / 100¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 1¢
- Open Interest
- 4.93K
- Volume (24h)
- 499
3.25%
ActiveYes
99.50%
No
0.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXFED-26JAN-T3.25
- Last Price
- 99¢ (99.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 99¢ / 100¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 1¢
- Open Interest
- 3.37K
- Volume (24h)
- 1
Rules
If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 5.25% following the Federal Reserve's Jan 28, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.