3.50%
ActiveYes
22.00%
No
78.00%
- Market Ticker
- KXFED-26OCT-T3.50
- Last Price
- 27¢ (27.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 18¢ / 26¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 74¢ / 82¢
- Open Interest
- 475
- Volume (24h)
- 0
KalshiActive
Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?
- Event Ticker
- KXFED-26OCT
- Category
- Economics
- 24h Volume
- 0
- Expiration
- Nov 4, 2026, 6:05 PM
Probability History
Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy
- 3.25%
Latest: 0.00%
Market Overview
Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.
Markets
3.25%
ActiveYes
39.50%
No
60.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXFED-26OCT-T3.25
- Last Price
- 43¢ (43.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 35¢ / 44¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 56¢ / 65¢
- Open Interest
- 412
- Volume (24h)
- 0
4.00%
ActiveYes
5.50%
No
94.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXFED-26OCT-T4.00
- Last Price
- 2¢ (2.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 2¢ / 9¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 91¢ / 98¢
- Open Interest
- 89
- Volume (24h)
- 0
4.50%
ActiveYes
3.50%
No
96.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXFED-26OCT-T4.50
- Last Price
- 7¢ (7.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 7¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 93¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 12
- Volume (24h)
- 0
5.25%
ActiveYes
1.50%
No
98.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXFED-26OCT-T5.25
- Last Price
- 5¢ (5.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 3¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 97¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 10
- Volume (24h)
- 0
4.75%
ActiveYes
3.00%
No
97.00%
- Market Ticker
- KXFED-26OCT-T4.75
- Last Price
- 6¢ (6.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 6¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 94¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 10
- Volume (24h)
- 0
5.00%
ActiveYes
2.50%
No
97.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXFED-26OCT-T5.00
- Last Price
- 5¢ (5.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 5¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 95¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 9
- Volume (24h)
- 0
4.25%
ActiveYes
1.50%
No
98.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXFED-26OCT-T4.25
- Last Price
- 8¢ (8.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 3¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 97¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 4
- Volume (24h)
- 0
3.00%
ActiveYes
57.50%
No
42.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXFED-26OCT-T3.00
- Last Price
- 62¢ (62.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 53¢ / 62¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 38¢ / 47¢
- Open Interest
- 0
- Volume (24h)
- 0
2.75%
ActiveYes
73.50%
No
26.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXFED-26OCT-T2.75
- Last Price
- 78¢ (78.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 69¢ / 78¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 22¢ / 31¢
- Open Interest
- 0
- Volume (24h)
- 0
3.75%
ActiveYes
7.50%
No
92.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXFED-26OCT-T3.75
- Last Price
- 3¢ (3.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 3¢ / 12¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 88¢ / 97¢
- Open Interest
- 0
- Volume (24h)
- 0
Rules
If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 5.25% following the Federal Reserve's Oct 28, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.