3.50%
ActiveYes
18.00%
No
82.00%
- Market Ticker
- KXFED-26SEP-T3.50
- Last Price
- 18¢ (18.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 14¢ / 22¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 78¢ / 86¢
- Open Interest
- 4.15K
- Volume (24h)
- 0
KalshiActive
Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Event Ticker
- KXFED-26SEP
- Category
- Economics
- 24h Volume
- 0
- Expiration
- Sep 23, 2026, 6:05 PM
Probability History
Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy
- 3.50%
Latest: 0.00%
- 3.75%
Latest: 0.00%
- 3.25%
Latest: 0.00%
Market Overview
Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.
Markets
3.75%
ActiveYes
4.50%
No
95.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXFED-26SEP-T3.75
- Last Price
- 19¢ (19.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 9¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 91¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 36
- Volume (24h)
- 0
3.25%
ActiveYes
36.50%
No
63.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXFED-26SEP-T3.25
- Last Price
- 47¢ (47.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 32¢ / 41¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 59¢ / 68¢
- Open Interest
- 0
- Volume (24h)
- 0
2.75%
ActiveYes
73.00%
No
27.00%
- Market Ticker
- KXFED-26SEP-T2.75
- Last Price
- 75¢ (75.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 69¢ / 77¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 23¢ / 31¢
- Open Interest
- 200
- Volume (24h)
- 0
4.00%
ActiveYes
4.50%
No
95.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXFED-26SEP-T4.00
- Last Price
- 8¢ (8.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 9¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 91¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 100
- Volume (24h)
- 0
4.75%
ActiveYes
3.00%
No
97.00%
- Market Ticker
- KXFED-26SEP-T4.75
- Last Price
- 5¢ (5.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 6¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 94¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 3
- Volume (24h)
- 0
4.50%
ActiveYes
3.50%
No
96.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXFED-26SEP-T4.50
- Last Price
- 7¢ (7.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 7¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 93¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 2
- Volume (24h)
- 0
5.25%
ActiveYes
2.50%
No
97.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXFED-26SEP-T5.25
- Last Price
- 0¢ (0.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 5¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 95¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 0
- Volume (24h)
- 0
5.00%
ActiveYes
2.50%
No
97.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXFED-26SEP-T5.00
- Last Price
- 0¢ (0.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 5¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 95¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 0
- Volume (24h)
- 0
4.25%
ActiveYes
4.00%
No
96.00%
- Market Ticker
- KXFED-26SEP-T4.25
- Last Price
- 0¢ (0.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 8¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 92¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 0
- Volume (24h)
- 0
3.00%
ActiveYes
54.50%
No
45.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXFED-26SEP-T3.00
- Last Price
- 0¢ (0.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 50¢ / 59¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 41¢ / 50¢
- Open Interest
- 0
- Volume (24h)
- 0
Rules
If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 5.25% following the Federal Reserve's Sep 16, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.