KalshiFinalized

How low will Bitcoin get in January?

Event Ticker
KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26JAN31
Category
Crypto
24h Volume
0
Expiration
Feb 8, 2026, 4:59 AM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

0%25%50%75%100%Jan 15Jan 29
  • Will BTC trimmed mean be below $85000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jan 31, 2026?

    Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Will BTC trimmed mean be below $85000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jan 31, 2026?

Active

Yes

28.50%

No

71.50%

Market Ticker
KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26JAN31-85000
Last Price
27¢ (27.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
28¢ / 29¢
No Bid / Ask
71¢ / 72¢
Open Interest
16.65K
Volume (24h)
6.3K

Will BTC trimmed mean be below $80000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jan 31, 2026?

Active

Yes

8.50%

No

91.50%

Market Ticker
KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26JAN31-80000
Last Price
13¢ (13.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
8¢ / 9¢
No Bid / Ask
91¢ / 92¢
Open Interest
9.2K
Volume (24h)
8.77K

Will BTC trimmed mean be below $82500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jan 31, 2026?

Active

Yes

16.50%

No

83.50%

Market Ticker
KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26JAN31-82500
Last Price
22¢ (22.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
15¢ / 18¢
No Bid / Ask
82¢ / 85¢
Open Interest
3.01K
Volume (24h)
3.45K

Will BTC trimmed mean be below $87500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jan 31, 2026?

Active

Yes

63.00%

No

37.00%

Market Ticker
KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26JAN31-87500
Last Price
63¢ (63.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
61¢ / 65¢
No Bid / Ask
35¢ / 39¢
Open Interest
1.9K
Volume (24h)
791

Will BTC trimmed mean be below $77500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jan 31, 2026?

Active

Yes

4.00%

No

96.00%

Market Ticker
KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26JAN31-77500
Last Price
3¢ (3.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
3¢ / 5¢
No Bid / Ask
95¢ / 97¢
Open Interest
1.67K
Volume (24h)
2.22K

Will BTC trimmed mean be below $90000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jan 31, 2026?

Finalized

Yes

50.00%

No

50.00%

Market Ticker
KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26JAN31-90000
Last Price
98¢ (98.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
0¢ / 100¢
No Bid / Ask
0¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
23.91K
Volume (24h)
0

Will BTC trimmed mean be below $92500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jan 31, 2026?

Finalized

Yes

50.00%

No

50.00%

Market Ticker
KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26JAN31-92500
Last Price
99¢ (99.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
0¢ / 100¢
No Bid / Ask
0¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
31.66K
Volume (24h)
0

Will BTC trimmed mean be below $95000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jan 31, 2026?

Finalized

Yes

50.00%

No

50.00%

Market Ticker
KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26JAN31-95000
Last Price
99¢ (99.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
0¢ / 100¢
No Bid / Ask
0¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
4.2K
Volume (24h)
0

Rules

If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jan 31, 2026 is below $95000.00, then the market resolves to Yes.