KalshiActive

How low will the S&P get this year?

Event Ticker
KXINXMINY-01JAN2027
Category
Financials
24h Volume
5
Expiration
Jan 8, 2027, 5:00 AM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

0%25%50%75%100%Jan 1Mar 15
  • Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 6000.01 by Jan 1, 2027?

    Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 5900.01 by Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

35.00%

No

65.00%

Market Ticker
KXINXMINY-01JAN2027-5900.01
Last Price
33¢ (33.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
33¢ / 37¢
No Bid / Ask
63¢ / 67¢
Open Interest
12.99K
Volume (24h)
156

Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 6000.01 by Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

38.50%

No

61.50%

Market Ticker
KXINXMINY-01JAN2027-6000.01
Last Price
41¢ (41.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
36¢ / 41¢
No Bid / Ask
59¢ / 64¢
Open Interest
8.59K
Volume (24h)
0

Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 6300.01 by Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

70.00%

No

30.00%

Market Ticker
KXINXMINY-01JAN2027-6300.01
Last Price
64¢ (64.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
57¢ / 83¢
No Bid / Ask
17¢ / 43¢
Open Interest
2.93K
Volume (24h)
20

Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 6500.01 by Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

71.00%

No

29.00%

Market Ticker
KXINXMINY-01JAN2027-6500.01
Last Price
56¢ (56.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
56¢ / 86¢
No Bid / Ask
14¢ / 44¢
Open Interest
1.25K
Volume (24h)
1.06K

Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 6600.01 by Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

85.50%

No

14.50%

Market Ticker
KXINXMINY-01JAN2027-6600.01
Last Price
73¢ (73.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
74¢ / 97¢
No Bid / Ask
3¢ / 26¢
Open Interest
2.85K
Volume (24h)
5

Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 6400.01 by Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

77.50%

No

22.50%

Market Ticker
KXINXMINY-01JAN2027-6400.01
Last Price
67¢ (67.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
59¢ / 96¢
No Bid / Ask
4¢ / 41¢
Open Interest
1.89K
Volume (24h)
101

Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 6100.01 by Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

43.50%

No

56.50%

Market Ticker
KXINXMINY-01JAN2027-6100.01
Last Price
49¢ (49.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
39¢ / 48¢
No Bid / Ask
52¢ / 61¢
Open Interest
1.37K
Volume (24h)
48

Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 6200.01 by Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

57.50%

No

42.50%

Market Ticker
KXINXMINY-01JAN2027-6200.01
Last Price
53¢ (53.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
19¢ / 96¢
No Bid / Ask
4¢ / 81¢
Open Interest
378
Volume (24h)
208

Rules

If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending on Jan 1, 2027 is below 6600.01, then the market resolves to Yes.