Will exactly 1 Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026?
ActiveYes
20.00%
No
80.00%
- Market Ticker
- KXLOSEREELECTIONDSEN-2026-1
- Last Price
- 20¢ (20.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 18¢ / 22¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 78¢ / 82¢
- Open Interest
- 3.2K
- Volume (24h)
- 0
KalshiActive
How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026?
- Event Ticker
- KXLOSEREELECTIONDSEN-2026
- Category
- Elections
- 24h Volume
- 0
- Expiration
- Jan 7, 2027, 3:00 PM
Probability History
Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy
- Will exactly 2 Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026?
Latest: 0.00%
Market Overview
Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.
Markets
Will exactly 2 Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026?
ActiveYes
7.00%
No
93.00%
- Market Ticker
- KXLOSEREELECTIONDSEN-2026-2
- Last Price
- 9¢ (9.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 5¢ / 9¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 91¢ / 95¢
- Open Interest
- 3.02K
- Volume (24h)
- 1.16K
Will exactly 0 Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026?
ActiveYes
74.50%
No
25.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXLOSEREELECTIONDSEN-2026-0
- Last Price
- 74¢ (74.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 74¢ / 75¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 25¢ / 26¢
- Open Interest
- 2.7K
- Volume (24h)
- 172
Will exactly 3 Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026?
ActiveYes
2.50%
No
97.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXLOSEREELECTIONDSEN-2026-3
- Last Price
- 3¢ (3.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 2¢ / 3¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 97¢ / 98¢
- Open Interest
- 847
- Volume (24h)
- 0
Will at least 5 Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026?
ActiveYes
1.50%
No
98.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXLOSEREELECTIONDSEN-2026-5
- Last Price
- 4¢ (4.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 3¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 97¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 832
- Volume (24h)
- 0
Will exactly 4 Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026?
ActiveYes
1.50%
No
98.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXLOSEREELECTIONDSEN-2026-4
- Last Price
- 3¢ (3.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 3¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 97¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 701
- Volume (24h)
- 0
Rules
If at least 5 members of the Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.