KalshiActive

How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?

Event Ticker
KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26
Category
Politics
24h Volume
0
Expiration
Feb 1, 2027, 3:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

0%25%50%75%100%Aug 19Mar 5
  • How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?

    Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?

Active

Yes

23.50%

No

76.50%

Market Ticker
KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26-5
Last Price
26¢ (26.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
21¢ / 26¢
No Bid / Ask
74¢ / 79¢
Open Interest
5.13K
Volume (24h)
0

How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?

Active

Yes

5.00%

No

95.00%

Market Ticker
KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26-15
Last Price
1¢ (1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
2¢ / 8¢
No Bid / Ask
92¢ / 98¢
Open Interest
620
Volume (24h)
0

How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?

Active

Yes

12.50%

No

87.50%

Market Ticker
KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26-10
Last Price
17¢ (17.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
10¢ / 15¢
No Bid / Ask
85¢ / 90¢
Open Interest
1.56K
Volume (24h)
0

How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?

Active

Yes

3.00%

No

97.00%

Market Ticker
KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26-75
Last Price
6¢ (6.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
0¢ / 6¢
No Bid / Ask
94¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
1.07K
Volume (24h)
0

How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?

Active

Yes

3.00%

No

97.00%

Market Ticker
KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26-100
Last Price
3¢ (3.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
1¢ / 5¢
No Bid / Ask
95¢ / 99¢
Open Interest
310
Volume (24h)
0

How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?

Active

Yes

5.00%

No

95.00%

Market Ticker
KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26-25
Last Price
2¢ (2.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
3¢ / 7¢
No Bid / Ask
93¢ / 97¢
Open Interest
247
Volume (24h)
0

How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?

Active

Yes

5.50%

No

94.50%

Market Ticker
KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26-20
Last Price
6¢ (6.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
3¢ / 8¢
No Bid / Ask
92¢ / 97¢
Open Interest
223
Volume (24h)
0

How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?

Active

Yes

4.00%

No

96.00%

Market Ticker
KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26-50
Last Price
0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
2¢ / 6¢
No Bid / Ask
94¢ / 98¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

Rules

If Elon Musk supports at least 75 non-incumbents who win Congressional seats in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.