KalshiActive

How many federal agencies will Trump cut?

Event Ticker
KXAGENCIES-26
Category
Politics
24h Volume
2
Expiration
Jul 4, 2026, 2:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

0%25%50%75%100%Aug 19Mar 14
  • Will DOGE cut at least 5 agencies?

    Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Will DOGE cut at least 5 agencies?

Active

Yes

35.50%

No

64.50%

Market Ticker
KXAGENCIES-26-5
Last Price
33¢ (33.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
33¢ / 38¢
No Bid / Ask
62¢ / 67¢
Open Interest
4.38K
Volume (24h)
2

Will DOGE cut at least 10 agencies?

Active

Yes

26.00%

No

74.00%

Market Ticker
KXAGENCIES-26-10
Last Price
22¢ (22.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
22¢ / 30¢
No Bid / Ask
70¢ / 78¢
Open Interest
4.92K
Volume (24h)
15

Will DOGE cut at least 20 agencies?

Active

Yes

17.50%

No

82.50%

Market Ticker
KXAGENCIES-26-20
Last Price
17¢ (17.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
15¢ / 20¢
No Bid / Ask
80¢ / 85¢
Open Interest
1.7K
Volume (24h)
0

Will DOGE cut at least 100 agencies?

Active

Yes

4.00%

No

96.00%

Market Ticker
KXAGENCIES-26-100
Last Price
(5.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
93¢ / 99¢
Open Interest
2.18K
Volume (24h)
0

Will DOGE cut at least 50 agencies?

Active

Yes

5.50%

No

94.50%

Market Ticker
KXAGENCIES-26-50
Last Price
(7.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
92¢ / 97¢
Open Interest
1.54K
Volume (24h)
0

Will DOGE cut at least 30 agencies?

Active

Yes

10.00%

No

90.00%

Market Ticker
KXAGENCIES-26-30
Last Price
(7.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 13¢
No Bid / Ask
87¢ / 93¢
Open Interest
1.3K
Volume (24h)
0

Will DOGE cut at least 200 agencies?

Active

Yes

0.50%

No

99.50%

Market Ticker
KXAGENCIES-26-200
Last Price
(1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
337
Volume (24h)
1

Rules

If there are more than 5 fewer federal agencies (as of Jan 16, 2025) on July 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.