KalshiActive

How many House Democrats will lose their primary in 2026?

Event Ticker
KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03
Category
Politics
24h Volume
0
Expiration
Nov 3, 2026, 3:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

0%25%50%75%100%Jan 18Mar 16
  • Will exactly 3 House Democratic members lose their primary in 2026?

    Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Will exactly 3 House Democratic members lose their primary in 2026?

Active

Yes

17.00%

No

83.00%

Market Ticker
KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03-3
Last Price
19¢ (19.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
15¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask
81¢ / 85¢
Open Interest
25
Volume (24h)
24

Will exactly 4 House Democratic members lose their primary in 2026?

Active

Yes

14.00%

No

86.00%

Market Ticker
KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03-4
Last Price
10¢ (10.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
11¢ / 17¢
No Bid / Ask
83¢ / 89¢
Open Interest
1
Volume (24h)
0

Will exactly 2 House Democratic members lose their primary in 2026?

Active

Yes

18.00%

No

82.00%

Market Ticker
KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03-2
Last Price
15¢ (15.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
15¢ / 21¢
No Bid / Ask
79¢ / 85¢
Open Interest
1
Volume (24h)
0

Will exactly 1 House Democratic members lose their primary in 2026?

Active

Yes

16.50%

No

83.50%

Market Ticker
KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03-1
Last Price
15¢ (15.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
15¢ / 18¢
No Bid / Ask
82¢ / 85¢
Open Interest
1
Volume (24h)
0

Will exactly 0 House Democratic members lose their primary in 2026?

Active

Yes

6.50%

No

93.50%

Market Ticker
KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03-0
Last Price
(6.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
91¢ / 96¢
Open Interest
1
Volume (24h)
0

Will more than 6 House Democratic members lose their primary in 2026?

Active

Yes

14.00%

No

86.00%

Market Ticker
KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03-6T
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 19¢
No Bid / Ask
81¢ / 91¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

Will exactly 6 House Democratic members lose their primary in 2026?

Active

Yes

7.50%

No

92.50%

Market Ticker
KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03-6
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 12¢
No Bid / Ask
88¢ / 97¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

Will exactly 5 House Democratic members lose their primary in 2026?

Active

Yes

12.00%

No

88.00%

Market Ticker
KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03-5
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 17¢
No Bid / Ask
83¢ / 93¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

Rules

If the number of House Democratic members that lose their primary in 2026 is above 6, then the market resolves to Yes.