KalshiActive

How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?

Event Ticker
KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSER-26NOV03
Category
Politics
24h Volume
494
Expiration
Nov 3, 2026, 3:00 PM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Will more than 6 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026?

Active

Yes

25.50%

No

74.50%

Market Ticker
KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSER-26NOV03-6T
Last Price
23¢ (23.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
22¢ / 29¢
No Bid / Ask
71¢ / 78¢
Open Interest
900
Volume (24h)
494

Will exactly 6 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026?

Active

Yes

12.00%

No

88.00%

Market Ticker
KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSER-26NOV03-6
Last Price
14¢ (14.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
10¢ / 14¢
No Bid / Ask
86¢ / 90¢
Open Interest
449
Volume (24h)
168

Will exactly 0 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026?

Active

Yes

6.00%

No

94.00%

Market Ticker
KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSER-26NOV03-0
Last Price
42¢ (42.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
91¢ / 97¢
Open Interest
232
Volume (24h)
0

Will exactly 5 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026?

Active

Yes

11.50%

No

88.50%

Market Ticker
KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSER-26NOV03-5
Last Price
32¢ (32.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 16¢
No Bid / Ask
84¢ / 93¢
Open Interest
232
Volume (24h)
2

Will exactly 4 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026?

Active

Yes

11.50%

No

88.50%

Market Ticker
KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSER-26NOV03-4
Last Price
(8.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 15¢
No Bid / Ask
85¢ / 92¢
Open Interest
232
Volume (24h)
0

Will exactly 3 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026?

Active

Yes

12.00%

No

88.00%

Market Ticker
KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSER-26NOV03-3
Last Price
(8.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 15¢
No Bid / Ask
85¢ / 91¢
Open Interest
232
Volume (24h)
0

Will exactly 2 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026?

Active

Yes

11.00%

No

89.00%

Market Ticker
KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSER-26NOV03-2
Last Price
(8.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 15¢
No Bid / Ask
85¢ / 93¢
Open Interest
232
Volume (24h)
0

Will exactly 1 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026?

Active

Yes

7.00%

No

93.00%

Market Ticker
KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSER-26NOV03-1
Last Price
(8.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 10¢
No Bid / Ask
90¢ / 96¢
Open Interest
232
Volume (24h)
0

Rules

If the number of Republican House members that lose their primary in 2026 before Nov 3, 2026 is above 6, then the market resolves to Yes.