KalshiActive

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

Event Ticker
KXSPACEXCOUNT-26B
Category
Companies
24h Volume
5
Expiration
Jan 7, 2027, 3:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

0%25%50%75%100%Dec 9Mar 16
  • Above 200

    Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Above 160

Active

Yes

91.50%

No

8.50%

Market Ticker
KXSPACEXCOUNT-26B-160
Last Price
90¢ (90.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
88¢ / 95¢
No Bid / Ask
5¢ / 12¢
Open Interest
2.89K
Volume (24h)
0

Above 170

Active

Yes

80.00%

No

20.00%

Market Ticker
KXSPACEXCOUNT-26B-170
Last Price
83¢ (83.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
76¢ / 84¢
No Bid / Ask
16¢ / 24¢
Open Interest
1.94K
Volume (24h)
1

Above 200

Active

Yes

57.50%

No

42.50%

Market Ticker
KXSPACEXCOUNT-26B-200
Last Price
61¢ (61.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
54¢ / 61¢
No Bid / Ask
39¢ / 46¢
Open Interest
2.23K
Volume (24h)
1

Above 190

Active

Yes

65.50%

No

34.50%

Market Ticker
KXSPACEXCOUNT-26B-190
Last Price
68¢ (68.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
63¢ / 68¢
No Bid / Ask
32¢ / 37¢
Open Interest
2.56K
Volume (24h)
1

Above 210

Active

Yes

29.00%

No

71.00%

Market Ticker
KXSPACEXCOUNT-26B-210
Last Price
26¢ (26.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
25¢ / 33¢
No Bid / Ask
67¢ / 75¢
Open Interest
1.81K
Volume (24h)
5

Above 120

Active

Yes

95.00%

No

5.00%

Market Ticker
KXSPACEXCOUNT-26B-120
Last Price
92¢ (92.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
92¢ / 98¢
No Bid / Ask
2¢ / 8¢
Open Interest
2.09K
Volume (24h)
0

Above 180

Active

Yes

73.00%

No

27.00%

Market Ticker
KXSPACEXCOUNT-26B-180
Last Price
76¢ (76.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
71¢ / 75¢
No Bid / Ask
25¢ / 29¢
Open Interest
1.21K
Volume (24h)
55

Above 140

Active

Yes

94.00%

No

6.00%

Market Ticker
KXSPACEXCOUNT-26B-140
Last Price
91¢ (91.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
91¢ / 97¢
No Bid / Ask
3¢ / 9¢
Open Interest
854
Volume (24h)
0

Rules

If SpaceX has more than 210 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.