Will Trump pardon between 0 and 4 people before Jan 1, 2027?
ActiveYes
0.50%
No
99.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXPARDONSYEAR-26DEC-2
- Last Price
- 1¢ (1.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 1¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 99¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 188
- Volume (24h)
- 1
KalshiActive
How many people will Trump pardon in 2026?
- Event Ticker
- KXPARDONSYEAR-26DEC
- Category
- Politics
- 24h Volume
- 0
- Expiration
- Jan 1, 2027, 3:00 PM
Probability History
Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy
- Will Trump pardon between 10 and 14 people before Jan 1, 2027?
Latest: 0.00%
Market Overview
Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.
Markets
Will Trump pardon between 10 and 14 people before Jan 1, 2027?
ActiveYes
4.50%
No
95.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXPARDONSYEAR-26DEC-12
- Last Price
- 2¢ (2.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 1¢ / 8¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 92¢ / 99¢
- Open Interest
- 500
- Volume (24h)
- 0
Will Trump pardon between 500 and 999 people before Jan 1, 2027?
ActiveYes
37.50%
No
62.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXPARDONSYEAR-26DEC-749
- Last Price
- 25¢ (25.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 26¢ / 49¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 51¢ / 74¢
- Open Interest
- 262
- Volume (24h)
- 0
Will Trump pardon between 5 and 9 people before Jan 1, 2027?
ActiveYes
0.50%
No
99.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXPARDONSYEAR-26DEC-7
- Last Price
- 1¢ (1.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 1¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 99¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 101
- Volume (24h)
- 1
Will Trump pardon between 100 and 499 people before Jan 1, 2027?
ActiveYes
49.50%
No
50.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXPARDONSYEAR-26DEC-299
- Last Price
- 96¢ (96.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 24¢ / 75¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 25¢ / 76¢
- Open Interest
- 61
- Volume (24h)
- 0
Will Trump pardon between 15 and 19 people before Jan 1, 2027?
ActiveYes
12.50%
No
87.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXPARDONSYEAR-26DEC-17
- Last Price
- 2¢ (2.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 25¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 75¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 50
- Volume (24h)
- 0
Will Trump pardon above 999 people before Jan 1, 2027?
ActiveYes
28.00%
No
72.00%
- Market Ticker
- KXPARDONSYEAR-26DEC-999
- Last Price
- 40¢ (40.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 7¢ / 49¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 51¢ / 93¢
- Open Interest
- 24
- Volume (24h)
- 0
Will Trump pardon between 50 and 99 people before Jan 1, 2027?
ActiveYes
23.50%
No
76.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXPARDONSYEAR-26DEC-74
- Last Price
- 3¢ (3.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 2¢ / 45¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 55¢ / 98¢
- Open Interest
- 6
- Volume (24h)
- 0
Will Trump pardon between 25 and 49 people before Jan 1, 2027?
ActiveYes
14.00%
No
86.00%
- Market Ticker
- KXPARDONSYEAR-26DEC-37
- Last Price
- 2¢ (2.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 2¢ / 26¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 74¢ / 98¢
- Open Interest
- 6
- Volume (24h)
- 0
Will Trump pardon between 20 and 24 people before Jan 1, 2027?
ActiveYes
15.50%
No
84.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXPARDONSYEAR-26DEC-22
- Last Price
- 2¢ (2.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 31¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 69¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 6
- Volume (24h)
- 0
Rules
If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to above 999 persons after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.