KalshiActive

How many people will Trump pardon in January?

Event Ticker
KXPARDONSTRUMP-26JAN
Category
Politics
24h Volume
409
Expiration
Feb 1, 2026, 3:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

0%25%50%75%100%Jan 3Feb 1
  • Will Trump pardon between 4 and 25 people before Feb 1, 2026?

    Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Will Trump pardon between 4 and 25 people before Feb 1, 2026?

Active

Yes

95.00%

No

5.00%

Market Ticker
KXPARDONSTRUMP-26JAN-14
Last Price
94¢ (94.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
93¢ / 97¢
No Bid / Ask
/
Open Interest
5.16K
Volume (24h)
397

Will Trump pardon between 26 and 100 people before Feb 1, 2026?

Active

Yes

6.00%

No

94.00%

Market Ticker
KXPARDONSTRUMP-26JAN-63
Last Price
(9.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
91¢ / 97¢
Open Interest
3.37K
Volume (24h)
409

Will Trump pardon above 100 people before Feb 1, 2026?

Active

Yes

3.50%

No

96.50%

Market Ticker
KXPARDONSTRUMP-26JAN-100
Last Price
(5.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
94¢ / 99¢
Open Interest
1.61K
Volume (24h)
187

Will Trump pardon between 0 and 0 people before Feb 1, 2026?

Finalized

Yes

50.00%

No

50.00%

Market Ticker
KXPARDONSTRUMP-26JAN-0
Last Price
(1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
Open Interest
14.12K
Volume (24h)
0

Will Trump pardon between 2 and 2 people before Feb 1, 2026?

Finalized

Yes

50.00%

No

50.00%

Market Ticker
KXPARDONSTRUMP-26JAN-2
Last Price
(1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
Open Interest
2.38K
Volume (24h)
0

Will Trump pardon between 1 and 1 people before Feb 1, 2026?

Finalized

Yes

50.00%

No

50.00%

Market Ticker
KXPARDONSTRUMP-26JAN-1
Last Price
(4.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
Open Interest
1.38K
Volume (24h)
0

Will Trump pardon between 3 and 3 people before Feb 1, 2026?

Finalized

Yes

50.00%

No

50.00%

Market Ticker
KXPARDONSTRUMP-26JAN-3
Last Price
(1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
Open Interest
779
Volume (24h)
0

Rules

If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to between 26 and 100 persons after Issuance and before Feb 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.