KalshiActive

How many Senate Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?

Event Ticker
KXLOSEPRIMARYSENATER-26NOV03
Category
Politics
24h Volume
0
Expiration
Nov 3, 2026, 3:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

0%25%50%75%100%Jan 23Mar 16
  • Will exactly 3 Senate Republican members lose their primary in 2026?

    Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Will at least 4 Senate Republican members lose their primary in 2026?

Active

Yes

5.50%

No

94.50%

Market Ticker
KXLOSEPRIMARYSENATER-26NOV03-4
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 10¢
No Bid / Ask
90¢ / 99¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

Will exactly 3 Senate Republican members lose their primary in 2026?

Active

Yes

5.50%

No

94.50%

Market Ticker
KXLOSEPRIMARYSENATER-26NOV03-3
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 10¢
No Bid / Ask
90¢ / 99¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

Will exactly 2 Senate Republican members lose their primary in 2026?

Active

Yes

60.00%

No

40.00%

Market Ticker
KXLOSEPRIMARYSENATER-26NOV03-2
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
55¢ / 65¢
No Bid / Ask
35¢ / 45¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

Will exactly 1 Senate Republican members lose their primary in 2026?

Active

Yes

25.00%

No

75.00%

Market Ticker
KXLOSEPRIMARYSENATER-26NOV03-1
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
20¢ / 30¢
No Bid / Ask
70¢ / 80¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

Will exactly 0 Senate Republican members lose their primary in 2026?

Active

Yes

5.50%

No

94.50%

Market Ticker
KXLOSEPRIMARYSENATER-26NOV03-0
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 10¢
No Bid / Ask
90¢ / 99¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

Rules

If the number of Republican Senate members that lose their primary in 2026 before Nov 3, 2026 is at least 4, then the market resolves to Yes.