KalshiActive

How many Supreme Court justices will vote for Trump's tariffs?

Event Ticker
KXTRUMPSCOTUSVOTE-26
Category
Politics
24h Volume
2.35K
Expiration
Aug 1, 2026, 2:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

0%25%50%75%100%Nov 3Feb 20
  • Will exactly 7 justices vote for the petitioner in Donald J. Trump, et al., v. V.O.S. Selections, Inc.?

    Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Will exactly 0 justices vote for the petitioner in Donald J. Trump, et al., v. V.O.S. Selections, Inc.?

Active

Yes

9.50%

No

90.50%

Market Ticker
KXTRUMPSCOTUSVOTE-26-0
Last Price
11¢ (11.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 10¢
No Bid / Ask
90¢ / 91¢
Open Interest
67.97K
Volume (24h)
3.56K

Will exactly 6 justices vote for the petitioner in Donald J. Trump, et al., v. V.O.S. Selections, Inc.?

Active

Yes

9.50%

No

90.50%

Market Ticker
KXTRUMPSCOTUSVOTE-26-6
Last Price
10¢ (10.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 10¢
No Bid / Ask
90¢ / 91¢
Open Interest
64.67K
Volume (24h)
1.5K

Will exactly 7 justices vote for the petitioner in Donald J. Trump, et al., v. V.O.S. Selections, Inc.?

Active

Yes

1.50%

No

98.50%

Market Ticker
KXTRUMPSCOTUSVOTE-26-7
Last Price
(2.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
98¢ / 99¢
Open Interest
64.72K
Volume (24h)
1.5K

Will exactly 5 justices vote for the petitioner in Donald J. Trump, et al., v. V.O.S. Selections, Inc.?

Active

Yes

20.50%

No

79.50%

Market Ticker
KXTRUMPSCOTUSVOTE-26-5
Last Price
24¢ (24.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
20¢ / 21¢
No Bid / Ask
79¢ / 80¢
Open Interest
57.5K
Volume (24h)
2.24K

Will exactly 3 justices vote for the petitioner in Donald J. Trump, et al., v. V.O.S. Selections, Inc.?

Active

Yes

36.00%

No

64.00%

Market Ticker
KXTRUMPSCOTUSVOTE-26-3
Last Price
35¢ (35.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
35¢ / 37¢
No Bid / Ask
63¢ / 65¢
Open Interest
52.82K
Volume (24h)
2.7K

Will exactly 1 justices vote for the petitioner in Donald J. Trump, et al., v. V.O.S. Selections, Inc.?

Active

Yes

3.50%

No

96.50%

Market Ticker
KXTRUMPSCOTUSVOTE-26-1
Last Price
(5.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
96¢ / 97¢
Open Interest
56.85K
Volume (24h)
3K

Will exactly 2 justices vote for the petitioner in Donald J. Trump, et al., v. V.O.S. Selections, Inc.?

Active

Yes

10.50%

No

89.50%

Market Ticker
KXTRUMPSCOTUSVOTE-26-2
Last Price
11¢ (11.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
10¢ / 11¢
No Bid / Ask
89¢ / 90¢
Open Interest
49.06K
Volume (24h)
4.05K

Will exactly 4 justices vote for the petitioner in Donald J. Trump, et al., v. V.O.S. Selections, Inc.?

Active

Yes

16.50%

No

83.50%

Market Ticker
KXTRUMPSCOTUSVOTE-26-4
Last Price
17¢ (17.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
16¢ / 17¢
No Bid / Ask
83¢ / 84¢
Open Interest
42.78K
Volume (24h)
4.12K

Will exactly 8 justices vote for the petitioner in Donald J. Trump, et al., v. V.O.S. Selections, Inc.?

Active

Yes

0.50%

No

99.50%

Market Ticker
KXTRUMPSCOTUSVOTE-26-8
Last Price
(1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
31.33K
Volume (24h)
1.78K

Will exactly 9 justices vote for the petitioner in Donald J. Trump, et al., v. V.O.S. Selections, Inc.?

Active

Yes

0.50%

No

99.50%

Market Ticker
KXTRUMPSCOTUSVOTE-26-9
Last Price
(1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
29.25K
Volume (24h)
2.35K

Rules

If exactly 9 justices vote in favor of the petitioner (Donald Trump) in Donald J. Trump, et al., v. V.O.S. Selections, Inc., then the market resolves to Yes.