KalshiActive

How much government spending will Trump cut in 2025?

Event Ticker
KXGOVTCUTS-25
Category
Politics
24h Volume
39.98K
Expiration
Mar 31, 2026, 3:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

0%25%50%75%100%Aug 19Feb 20
  • Will government spending decrease by 1 before 2025?

    Latest: 0.00%

  • Will government spending decrease by 250 before 2025?

    Latest: 0.00%

  • Will government spending decrease by 25 before 2025?

    Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Will government spending decrease by 1 before 2025?

Active

Yes

3.50%

No

96.50%

Market Ticker
KXGOVTCUTS-25-1
Last Price
(4.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
96¢ / 97¢
Open Interest
1.01M
Volume (24h)
39.98K

Will government spending decrease by 250 before 2025?

Active

Yes

2.50%

No

97.50%

Market Ticker
KXGOVTCUTS-25-250
Last Price
(2.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
97¢ / 98¢
Open Interest
290.47K
Volume (24h)
854

Will government spending decrease by 25 before 2025?

Active

Yes

3.50%

No

96.50%

Market Ticker
KXGOVTCUTS-25-25
Last Price
(3.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
96¢ / 97¢
Open Interest
225.1K
Volume (24h)
2.08K

Will government spending decrease by 500 before 2025?

Active

Yes

1.00%

No

99.00%

Market Ticker
KXGOVTCUTS-25-500
Last Price
(2.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
98¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
194.46K
Volume (24h)
0

Will government spending decrease by 1000 before 2025?

Active

Yes

0.50%

No

99.50%

Market Ticker
KXGOVTCUTS-25-1000
Last Price
(1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
195.47K
Volume (24h)
1.02K

Will government spending decrease by 100 before 2025?

Active

Yes

1.50%

No

98.50%

Market Ticker
KXGOVTCUTS-25-100
Last Price
(1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
98¢ / 99¢
Open Interest
175.23K
Volume (24h)
2.36K

Will government spending decrease by 750 before 2025?

Active

Yes

1.00%

No

99.00%

Market Ticker
KXGOVTCUTS-25-750
Last Price
(2.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
98¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
113.54K
Volume (24h)
0

Will government spending decrease by 50 before 2025?

Active

Yes

3.00%

No

97.00%

Market Ticker
KXGOVTCUTS-25-50
Last Price
(3.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
96¢ / 98¢
Open Interest
138.74K
Volume (24h)
3.02K

Will government spending decrease by 2000 before 2025?

Active

Yes

0.50%

No

99.50%

Market Ticker
KXGOVTCUTS-25-2000
Last Price
(1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
99.85K
Volume (24h)
1.03K

Rules

If government spending decreases by at least $1 billion during Q4 2024 to Q4 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.