KalshiActive

Jobs numbers in Aug 2026?

Event Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26AUG
Category
Economics
24h Volume
0
Expiration
Dec 4, 2026, 2:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

0%25%50%75%100%Oct 13Mar 10
  • 0

    Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

-25,000

Active

Yes

82.00%

No

18.00%

Market Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26AUG-T-25000
Last Price
82¢ (82.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
78¢ / 86¢
No Bid / Ask
14¢ / 22¢
Open Interest
100
Volume (24h)
0

0

Active

Yes

72.00%

No

28.00%

Market Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26AUG-T0
Last Price
75¢ (75.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
68¢ / 76¢
No Bid / Ask
24¢ / 32¢
Open Interest
150
Volume (24h)
0

125,000

Active

Yes

18.50%

No

81.50%

Market Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26AUG-T125000
Last Price
20¢ (20.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
14¢ / 23¢
No Bid / Ask
77¢ / 86¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

90,000

Active

Yes

29.50%

No

70.50%

Market Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26AUG-T90000
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
25¢ / 34¢
No Bid / Ask
66¢ / 75¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

80,000

Active

Yes

34.50%

No

65.50%

Market Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26AUG-T80000
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
30¢ / 39¢
No Bid / Ask
61¢ / 70¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

70,000

Active

Yes

38.50%

No

61.50%

Market Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26AUG-T70000
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
34¢ / 43¢
No Bid / Ask
57¢ / 66¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

60,000

Active

Yes

42.50%

No

57.50%

Market Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26AUG-T60000
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
38¢ / 47¢
No Bid / Ask
53¢ / 62¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

50,000

Active

Yes

48.50%

No

51.50%

Market Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26AUG-T50000
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
44¢ / 53¢
No Bid / Ask
47¢ / 56¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

40,000

Active

Yes

53.50%

No

46.50%

Market Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26AUG-T40000
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
49¢ / 58¢
No Bid / Ask
42¢ / 51¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

30,000

Active

Yes

58.50%

No

41.50%

Market Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26AUG-T30000
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
54¢ / 63¢
No Bid / Ask
37¢ / 46¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

20,000

Active

Yes

64.50%

No

35.50%

Market Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26AUG-T20000
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
60¢ / 69¢
No Bid / Ask
31¢ / 40¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

100,000

Active

Yes

25.50%

No

74.50%

Market Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26AUG-T100000
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
21¢ / 30¢
No Bid / Ask
70¢ / 79¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

10,000

Active

Yes

68.50%

No

31.50%

Market Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26AUG-T10000
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
64¢ / 73¢
No Bid / Ask
27¢ / 36¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

Rules

If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 90000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.