KalshiActive

Jobs numbers in Jan 2026?

Event Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26JAN
Category
Economics
24h Volume
0
Expiration
May 8, 2026, 3:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

0%25%50%75%100%Oct 13Feb 11
  • 20,000

    Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

90,000

Active

Yes

30.50%

No

69.50%

Market Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26JAN-T90000
Last Price
28¢ (28.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
28¢ / 33¢
No Bid / Ask
67¢ / 72¢
Open Interest
33.89K
Volume (24h)
0

20,000

Active

Yes

88.00%

No

12.00%

Market Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26JAN-T20000
Last Price
87¢ (87.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
86¢ / 90¢
No Bid / Ask
10¢ / 14¢
Open Interest
5.82K
Volume (24h)
0

125,000

Active

Yes

11.50%

No

88.50%

Market Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26JAN-T125000
Last Price
12¢ (12.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
11¢ / 12¢
No Bid / Ask
88¢ / 89¢
Open Interest
5.43K
Volume (24h)
1.32K

40,000

Active

Yes

69.00%

No

31.00%

Market Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26JAN-T40000
Last Price
75¢ (75.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
67¢ / 71¢
No Bid / Ask
29¢ / 33¢
Open Interest
4.08K
Volume (24h)
0

30,000

Active

Yes

77.50%

No

22.50%

Market Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26JAN-T30000
Last Price
80¢ (80.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
75¢ / 80¢
No Bid / Ask
20¢ / 25¢
Open Interest
3.66K
Volume (24h)
0

50,000

Active

Yes

60.00%

No

40.00%

Market Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26JAN-T50000
Last Price
58¢ (58.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
58¢ / 62¢
No Bid / Ask
38¢ / 42¢
Open Interest
3.03K
Volume (24h)
242

0

Active

Yes

94.00%

No

6.00%

Market Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26JAN-T0
Last Price
95¢ (95.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
93¢ / 95¢
No Bid / Ask
5¢ / 7¢
Open Interest
4.12K
Volume (24h)
1

-25,000

Active

Yes

97.00%

No

3.00%

Market Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26JAN-T-25000
Last Price
98¢ (98.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
96¢ / 98¢
No Bid / Ask
2¢ / 4¢
Open Interest
2.25K
Volume (24h)
0

100,000

Active

Yes

20.00%

No

80.00%

Market Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26JAN-T100000
Last Price
21¢ (21.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
19¢ / 21¢
No Bid / Ask
79¢ / 81¢
Open Interest
2.11K
Volume (24h)
22

70,000

Active

Yes

42.00%

No

58.00%

Market Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26JAN-T70000
Last Price
40¢ (40.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
40¢ / 44¢
No Bid / Ask
56¢ / 60¢
Open Interest
1.62K
Volume (24h)
0

60,000

Active

Yes

48.00%

No

52.00%

Market Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26JAN-T60000
Last Price
47¢ (47.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
47¢ / 49¢
No Bid / Ask
51¢ / 53¢
Open Interest
1.09K
Volume (24h)
26

10,000

Active

Yes

91.00%

No

9.00%

Market Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26JAN-T10000
Last Price
93¢ (93.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
89¢ / 93¢
No Bid / Ask
7¢ / 11¢
Open Interest
796
Volume (24h)
0

80,000

Active

Yes

33.00%

No

67.00%

Market Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26JAN-T80000
Last Price
32¢ (32.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
32¢ / 34¢
No Bid / Ask
66¢ / 68¢
Open Interest
480
Volume (24h)
0

Rules

If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 90000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of January 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.