KalshiActive

Jobs numbers in October 2026?

Event Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26OCT
Category
Economics
24h Volume
0
Expiration
Feb 5, 2027, 3:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

0%25%50%75%100%Oct 13Mar 10
  • 0

    Latest: 0.00%

  • 30,000

    Latest: 0.00%

  • -25,000

    Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

0

Active

Yes

72.00%

No

28.00%

Market Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26OCT-T0
Last Price
65¢ (65.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
68¢ / 76¢
No Bid / Ask
24¢ / 32¢
Open Interest
138
Volume (24h)
0

30,000

Active

Yes

61.00%

No

39.00%

Market Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26OCT-T30000
Last Price
57¢ (57.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
57¢ / 65¢
No Bid / Ask
35¢ / 43¢
Open Interest
80
Volume (24h)
0

-25,000

Active

Yes

80.00%

No

20.00%

Market Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26OCT-T-25000
Last Price
83¢ (83.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
76¢ / 84¢
No Bid / Ask
16¢ / 24¢
Open Interest
132
Volume (24h)
0

50,000

Active

Yes

52.00%

No

48.00%

Market Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26OCT-T50000
Last Price
55¢ (55.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
48¢ / 56¢
No Bid / Ask
44¢ / 52¢
Open Interest
37
Volume (24h)
0

125,000

Active

Yes

19.50%

No

80.50%

Market Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26OCT-T125000
Last Price
12¢ (12.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
15¢ / 24¢
No Bid / Ask
76¢ / 85¢
Open Interest
345
Volume (24h)
0

40,000

Active

Yes

56.50%

No

43.50%

Market Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26OCT-T40000
Last Price
58¢ (58.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
52¢ / 61¢
No Bid / Ask
39¢ / 48¢
Open Interest
345
Volume (24h)
0

10,000

Active

Yes

68.00%

No

32.00%

Market Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26OCT-T10000
Last Price
65¢ (65.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
64¢ / 72¢
No Bid / Ask
28¢ / 36¢
Open Interest
17
Volume (24h)
0

90,000

Active

Yes

32.50%

No

67.50%

Market Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26OCT-T90000
Last Price
0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
28¢ / 37¢
No Bid / Ask
63¢ / 72¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

80,000

Active

Yes

37.50%

No

62.50%

Market Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26OCT-T80000
Last Price
0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
33¢ / 42¢
No Bid / Ask
58¢ / 67¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

70,000

Active

Yes

42.50%

No

57.50%

Market Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26OCT-T70000
Last Price
0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
38¢ / 47¢
No Bid / Ask
53¢ / 62¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

60,000

Active

Yes

46.50%

No

53.50%

Market Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26OCT-T60000
Last Price
0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
42¢ / 51¢
No Bid / Ask
49¢ / 58¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

20,000

Active

Yes

64.50%

No

35.50%

Market Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26OCT-T20000
Last Price
0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
60¢ / 69¢
No Bid / Ask
31¢ / 40¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

100,000

Active

Yes

27.50%

No

72.50%

Market Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26OCT-T100000
Last Price
0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
23¢ / 32¢
No Bid / Ask
68¢ / 77¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

Rules

If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 90000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.