Will the minimum temperature be >23° on Jan 21, 2026?
ActiveYes
33.50%
No
66.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXLOWTCHI-26JAN21-T23
- Last Price
- 40¢ (40.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 26¢ / 41¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 59¢ / 74¢
- Open Interest
- 1.75K
- Volume (24h)
- 4.77K
KalshiActive
Lowest temperature in Chicago on Jan 21, 2026?
- Event Ticker
- KXLOWTCHI-26JAN21
- Category
- Climate and Weather
- 24h Volume
- 4.77K
- Expiration
- Jan 28, 2026, 3:00 PM
Probability History
Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy
- Will the minimum temperature be >23° on Jan 21, 2026?
Latest: 0.00%
Market Overview
Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.
Markets
Will the minimum temperature be 18-19° on Jan 21, 2026?
ActiveYes
4.50%
No
95.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXLOWTCHI-26JAN21-B18.5
- Last Price
- 4¢ (4.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 4¢ / 5¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 95¢ / 96¢
- Open Interest
- 1.76K
- Volume (24h)
- 2.7K
Will the minimum temperature be 20-21° on Jan 21, 2026?
ActiveYes
16.00%
No
84.00%
- Market Ticker
- KXLOWTCHI-26JAN21-B20.5
- Last Price
- 20¢ (20.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 10¢ / 22¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 78¢ / 90¢
- Open Interest
- 1.28K
- Volume (24h)
- 2.54K
Will the minimum temperature be <16° on Jan 21, 2026?
ActiveYes
7.50%
No
92.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXLOWTCHI-26JAN21-T16
- Last Price
- 5¢ (5.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 4¢ / 11¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 89¢ / 96¢
- Open Interest
- 2.08K
- Volume (24h)
- 2.55K
Will the minimum temperature be 16-17° on Jan 21, 2026?
ActiveYes
3.50%
No
96.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXLOWTCHI-26JAN21-B16.5
- Last Price
- 3¢ (3.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 3¢ / 4¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 96¢ / 97¢
- Open Interest
- 1.69K
- Volume (24h)
- 2.21K
Will the minimum temperature be 22-23° on Jan 21, 2026?
ActiveYes
49.50%
No
50.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXLOWTCHI-26JAN21-B22.5
- Last Price
- 45¢ (45.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 45¢ / 54¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 46¢ / 55¢
- Open Interest
- 1.04K
- Volume (24h)
- 1.97K
Rules
If the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago for Jan 21, 2026, is greater than 23° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.