KalshiActive

Margin of victory in the 1st round of the Portuguese presidential election?

Event Ticker
KXMOVPORTUGALPRESR1-26JAN18
Category
Elections
24h Volume
232
Expiration
Jan 18, 2027, 3:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

0%25%50%75%100%Jan 12Jan 24
  • Will the margin of victory in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 8 and 10%?

    Latest: 0.00%

  • Will the margin of victory in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 10 and 100%?

    Latest: 0.00%

  • Will the margin of victory in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 2 and 4%?

    Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Will the margin of victory in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 8 and 10%?

Active

Yes

1.50%

No

98.50%

Market Ticker
KXMOVPORTUGALPRESR1-26JAN18-P9
Last Price
4¢ (4.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
0¢ / 3¢
No Bid / Ask
97¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
824
Volume (24h)
232

Will the margin of victory in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 10 and 100%?

Active

Yes

1.00%

No

99.00%

Market Ticker
KXMOVPORTUGALPRESR1-26JAN18-P55
Last Price
1¢ (1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
0¢ / 2¢
No Bid / Ask
98¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
1.19K
Volume (24h)
0

Will the margin of victory in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 2 and 4%?

Active

Yes

1.00%

No

99.00%

Market Ticker
KXMOVPORTUGALPRESR1-26JAN18-P3
Last Price
1¢ (1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
0¢ / 2¢
No Bid / Ask
98¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
1.43K
Volume (24h)
0

Will the margin of victory in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 6 and 8%?

Active

Yes

97.50%

No

2.50%

Market Ticker
KXMOVPORTUGALPRESR1-26JAN18-P7
Last Price
99¢ (99.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
96¢ / 99¢
No Bid / Ask
1¢ / 4¢
Open Interest
1.22K
Volume (24h)
246

Will the margin of victory in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 4 and 6%?

Active

Yes

1.50%

No

98.50%

Market Ticker
KXMOVPORTUGALPRESR1-26JAN18-P5
Last Price
1¢ (1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
0¢ / 3¢
No Bid / Ask
97¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
853
Volume (24h)
0

Will the margin of victory in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 1 and 2%?

Active

Yes

0.50%

No

99.50%

Market Ticker
KXMOVPORTUGALPRESR1-26JAN18-P1
Last Price
3¢ (3.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
0¢ / 1¢
No Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
808
Volume (24h)
31

Will the margin of victory in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 0 and 1%?

Active

Yes

1.00%

No

99.00%

Market Ticker
KXMOVPORTUGALPRESR1-26JAN18-P0
Last Price
1¢ (1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
0¢ / 2¢
No Bid / Ask
98¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
153
Volume (24h)
0

Rules

If the margin of victory for the first round winner in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election falls between 8% and 10%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.