KalshiActive

Measles cases in 2026?

Event Ticker
KXMEASLES-26
Category
Health
24h Volume
2
Expiration
Dec 31, 2027, 3:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

0%25%50%75%100%Oct 16Mar 15
  • Above 2000

    Latest: 0.00%

  • Above 4000

    Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Above 2000

Active

Yes

92.50%

No

7.50%

Market Ticker
KXMEASLES-26-2000
Last Price
93¢ (93.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
92¢ / 93¢
No Bid / Ask
7¢ / 8¢
Open Interest
20.41K
Volume (24h)
419

Above 4000

Active

Yes

71.50%

No

28.50%

Market Ticker
KXMEASLES-26-4000
Last Price
73¢ (73.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
70¢ / 73¢
No Bid / Ask
27¢ / 30¢
Open Interest
23.57K
Volume (24h)
449

Above 750

Active

Yes

98.50%

No

1.50%

Market Ticker
KXMEASLES-26-750
Last Price
99¢ (99.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
98¢ / 99¢
No Bid / Ask
1¢ / 2¢
Open Interest
22.58K
Volume (24h)
0

Above 6000

Active

Yes

54.00%

No

46.00%

Market Ticker
KXMEASLES-26-6000
Last Price
57¢ (57.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
53¢ / 55¢
No Bid / Ask
45¢ / 47¢
Open Interest
11.42K
Volume (24h)
720

Above 1000

Active

Yes

97.50%

No

2.50%

Market Ticker
KXMEASLES-26-1000
Last Price
98¢ (98.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
97¢ / 98¢
No Bid / Ask
2¢ / 3¢
Open Interest
10.67K
Volume (24h)
0

Above 10000

Active

Yes

31.50%

No

68.50%

Market Ticker
KXMEASLES-26-10000
Last Price
30¢ (30.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
31¢ / 32¢
No Bid / Ask
68¢ / 69¢
Open Interest
11.39K
Volume (24h)
2.66K

Above 500

Active

Yes

99.50%

No

0.50%

Market Ticker
KXMEASLES-26-500
Last Price
99¢ (99.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
No Bid / Ask
0¢ / 1¢
Open Interest
9.3K
Volume (24h)
1

Above 8000

Active

Yes

40.50%

No

59.50%

Market Ticker
KXMEASLES-26-8000
Last Price
38¢ (38.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
39¢ / 42¢
No Bid / Ask
58¢ / 61¢
Open Interest
8.19K
Volume (24h)
953

Above 1500

Active

Yes

97.00%

No

3.00%

Market Ticker
KXMEASLES-26-1500
Last Price
98¢ (98.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
96¢ / 98¢
No Bid / Ask
2¢ / 4¢
Open Interest
5.37K
Volume (24h)
1

Above 1250

Active

Yes

96.50%

No

3.50%

Market Ticker
KXMEASLES-26-1250
Last Price
98¢ (98.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
95¢ / 98¢
No Bid / Ask
2¢ / 5¢
Open Interest
6.53K
Volume (24h)
0

Above 1750

Active

Yes

96.00%

No

4.00%

Market Ticker
KXMEASLES-26-1750
Last Price
96¢ (96.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
95¢ / 97¢
No Bid / Ask
3¢ / 5¢
Open Interest
3.29K
Volume (24h)
2

Rules

If the number of measles in 2026 is above 1750, then the market resolves to Yes.