KalshiActive

Miguel Díaz-Canel out?

Event Ticker
KXDIAZOUT-MDC
Category
Politics
24h Volume
53
Expiration
Sep 1, 2026, 2:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

0%25%50%75%100%Jan 3Mar 15
  • Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-06-01T14:00:00.000Z?

    Latest: 0.00%

  • Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-02-01T15:00:00.000Z?

    Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-06-01T14:00:00.000Z?

Active

Yes

27.50%

No

72.50%

Market Ticker
KXDIAZOUT-MDC-26JUN01
Last Price
29¢ (29.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
25¢ / 30¢
No Bid / Ask
70¢ / 75¢
Open Interest
10.2K
Volume (24h)
62

Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-02-01T15:00:00.000Z?

Active

Yes

3.50%

No

96.50%

Market Ticker
KXDIAZOUT-MDC-26FEB01
Last Price
2¢ (2.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
2¢ / 5¢
No Bid / Ask
95¢ / 98¢
Open Interest
8.95K
Volume (24h)
0

Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-03-01T15:00:00.000Z?

Active

Yes

11.50%

No

88.50%

Market Ticker
KXDIAZOUT-MDC-26MAR01
Last Price
10¢ (10.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
8¢ / 15¢
No Bid / Ask
85¢ / 92¢
Open Interest
4.94K
Volume (24h)
0

Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-04-01T14:00:00.000Z?

Active

Yes

21.50%

No

78.50%

Market Ticker
KXDIAZOUT-MDC-26APR01
Last Price
18¢ (18.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
18¢ / 25¢
No Bid / Ask
75¢ / 82¢
Open Interest
6.05K
Volume (24h)
181

Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-05-01T14:00:00.000Z?

Active

Yes

27.50%

No

72.50%

Market Ticker
KXDIAZOUT-MDC-26MAY01
Last Price
25¢ (25.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
24¢ / 31¢
No Bid / Ask
69¢ / 76¢
Open Interest
4.01K
Volume (24h)
0

Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-09-01T14:00:00.000Z?

Active

Yes

44.50%

No

55.50%

Market Ticker
KXDIAZOUT-MDC-26SEP01
Last Price
42¢ (42.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
42¢ / 47¢
No Bid / Ask
53¢ / 58¢
Open Interest
2.21K
Volume (24h)
53

Rules

If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before September 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.