KalshiActive

Mike Johnson out as Speaker of the House?

Event Ticker
KXSOTHLEAVE-26
Category
Politics
24h Volume
127
Expiration
Nov 3, 2026, 3:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

0%25%50%75%100%Aug 19Mar 16
  • Will Mike Johnson no longer be Speaker of the House before 2026?

    Latest: 0.00%

  • :: Midterms

    Latest: 0.00%

  • Will Mike Johnson no longer be Speaker of the House before 2026?

    Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Will Mike Johnson no longer be Speaker of the House before 2026?

Active

Yes

19.00%

No

81.00%

Market Ticker
KXSOTHLEAVE-26-JULY
Last Price
20¢ (20.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
17¢ / 21¢
No Bid / Ask
79¢ / 83¢
Open Interest
11.41K
Volume (24h)
560

:: Midterms

Active

Yes

40.00%

No

60.00%

Market Ticker
KXSOTHLEAVE-26-NOV
Last Price
26¢ (26.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
32¢ / 48¢
No Bid / Ask
52¢ / 68¢
Open Interest
6.68K
Volume (24h)
127

Will Mike Johnson no longer be Speaker of the House before 2026?

Finalized

Yes

50.00%

No

50.00%

Market Ticker
KXSOTHLEAVE-26
Last Price
(1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
Open Interest
36.99K
Volume (24h)
0

Rules

If the person occupying the position of Speaker of the House has resigned or otherwise left their leadership office after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.