KalshiActive

Oscar for Best Picture?

Event Ticker
KXOSCARPIC-26
Category
Entertainment
24h Volume
1
Expiration
Dec 31, 2026, 3:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 22Mar 15
  • Sinners

    Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Marty Supreme

Active

Yes

4.50%

No

95.50%

Market Ticker
KXOSCARPIC-26-MAR
Last Price
(5.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
95¢ / 96¢
Open Interest
469.46K
Volume (24h)
8.21K

Sinners

Active

Yes

6.50%

No

93.50%

Market Ticker
KXOSCARPIC-26-SIN
Last Price
(7.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
93¢ / 94¢
Open Interest
400.58K
Volume (24h)
7.19K

Hamnet

Active

Yes

12.50%

No

87.50%

Market Ticker
KXOSCARPIC-26-HAM
Last Price
13¢ (13.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
12¢ / 13¢
No Bid / Ask
87¢ / 88¢
Open Interest
386.77K
Volume (24h)
21.86K

One Battle After Another

Active

Yes

76.50%

No

23.50%

Market Ticker
KXOSCARPIC-26-ONE
Last Price
77¢ (77.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
76¢ / 77¢
No Bid / Ask
23¢ / 24¢
Open Interest
336.98K
Volume (24h)
2.48K

Frankenstein

Active

Yes

0.50%

No

99.50%

Market Ticker
KXOSCARPIC-26-FRAN
Last Price
(1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
289.44K
Volume (24h)
4.39K

Bugonia

Active

Yes

0.50%

No

99.50%

Market Ticker
KXOSCARPIC-26-BUG
Last Price
(1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
262.53K
Volume (24h)
5.12K

Wicked: For Good

Active

Yes

0.50%

No

99.50%

Market Ticker
KXOSCARPIC-26-WIC
Last Price
(1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
214.47K
Volume (24h)
24.03K

Sentimental Value

Active

Yes

0.50%

No

99.50%

Market Ticker
KXOSCARPIC-26-SEN
Last Price
(1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
190.3K
Volume (24h)
18.06K

No Other Choice

Active

Yes

0.50%

No

99.50%

Market Ticker
KXOSCARPIC-26-NOO
Last Price
(1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
183.56K
Volume (24h)
561

It Was Just an Accident

Active

Yes

0.50%

No

99.50%

Market Ticker
KXOSCARPIC-26-ITW
Last Price
(1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
158.49K
Volume (24h)
1

Avatar: Fire and Ash

Active

Yes

0.50%

No

99.50%

Market Ticker
KXOSCARPIC-26-AVA
Last Price
(1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
109.17K
Volume (24h)
1.04K

Jay Kelly

Active

Yes

0.50%

No

99.50%

Market Ticker
KXOSCARPIC-26-JAY
Last Price
(1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
35.98K
Volume (24h)
1

Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere

Active

Yes

0.50%

No

99.50%

Market Ticker
KXOSCARPIC-26-SPRI
Last Price
(1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
25.27K
Volume (24h)
187

Rental Family

Active

Yes

0.50%

No

99.50%

Market Ticker
KXOSCARPIC-26-REN
Last Price
(1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
15.52K
Volume (24h)
1

Tie

Active

Yes

0.50%

No

99.50%

Market Ticker
KXOSCARPIC-26-TIE
Last Price
(1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
6.44K
Volume (24h)
1

A House of Dynamite

Active

Yes

0.50%

No

99.50%

Market Ticker
KXOSCARPIC-26-AHO
Last Price
(1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
5.98K
Volume (24h)
1

Rules

If Tie has won Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.