KalshiActive

Recession in 2025?

Event Ticker
RECSSNBER-25
Category
Economics
24h Volume
549
Expiration
Feb 7, 2026, 3:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

0%25%50%75%100%Aug 19Jan 31
  • Will there be a recession in 2025?

    Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Will there be a recession in 2025?

Active

Yes

1.00%

No

99.00%

Market Ticker
RECSSNBER-25
Last Price
(2.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
98¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
499.29K
Volume (24h)
549

Rules

If there are two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth in 2024 or 2025, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.