Will there be a recession in 2026?
ActiveYes
25.50%
No
74.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXRECSSNBER-26
- Last Price
- 26¢ (26.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 25¢ / 26¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 74¢ / 75¢
- Open Interest
- 111.54K
- Volume (24h)
- 1.22K
KalshiActive
Recession this year?
- Event Ticker
- KXRECSSNBER-26
- Category
- Economics
- 24h Volume
- 1.22K
- Expiration
- Feb 7, 2027, 3:00 PM
Probability History
Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy
- Will there be a recession in 2026?
Latest: 0.00%
Market Overview
Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.
Markets
Rules
If there are two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth in 2025 or 2026, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.