KalshiActive

Tesla production in Q1 2026?

Event Ticker
KXTESLAPROD-26-Q1
Category
Companies
24h Volume
0
Expiration
Jul 4, 2026, 2:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

0%25%50%75%100%Jan 5Mar 15
  • Above 300000

    Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Above 340000

Active

Yes

83.50%

No

16.50%

Market Ticker
KXTESLAPROD-26-Q1-340000
Last Price
86¢ (86.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
81¢ / 86¢
No Bid / Ask
14¢ / 19¢
Open Interest
1.13K
Volume (24h)
0

Above 320000

Active

Yes

86.50%

No

13.50%

Market Ticker
KXTESLAPROD-26-Q1-320000
Last Price
82¢ (82.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
83¢ / 90¢
No Bid / Ask
10¢ / 17¢
Open Interest
260
Volume (24h)
0

Above 300000

Active

Yes

89.50%

No

10.50%

Market Ticker
KXTESLAPROD-26-Q1-300000
Last Price
91¢ (91.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
88¢ / 91¢
No Bid / Ask
9¢ / 12¢
Open Interest
76
Volume (24h)
0

Above 280000

Active

Yes

94.50%

No

5.50%

Market Ticker
KXTESLAPROD-26-Q1-280000
Last Price
97¢ (97.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
92¢ / 97¢
No Bid / Ask
3¢ / 8¢
Open Interest
11
Volume (24h)
0

Rules

If Tesla has more than 340000 total cars produced in Q1 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.