4.51% or above
ActiveYes
0.00%
No
100.00%
- Market Ticker
- KXTNOTED-26JAN22-T4.50
- Last Price
- 0¢ (0.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 0¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 100¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 0
- Volume (24h)
- 0
KalshiActive
Treasury 10-year yield on Jan 22, 2026?
- Event Ticker
- KXTNOTED-26JAN22
- Category
- Financials
- 24h Volume
- 0
- Expiration
- Jan 24, 2026, 6:00 AM
Probability History
Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy
- 4.48% to 4.5%
Latest: 0.00%
Market Overview
Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.
Markets
4.11% or below
ActiveYes
0.00%
No
100.00%
- Market Ticker
- KXTNOTED-26JAN22-T4.12
- Last Price
- 0¢ (0.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 0¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 100¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 0
- Volume (24h)
- 0
4.48% to 4.5%
ActiveYes
0.00%
No
100.00%
- Market Ticker
- KXTNOTED-26JAN22-B4.49
- Last Price
- 0¢ (0.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 0¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 100¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 0
- Volume (24h)
- 0
4.45% to 4.47%
ActiveYes
0.00%
No
100.00%
- Market Ticker
- KXTNOTED-26JAN22-B4.46
- Last Price
- 0¢ (0.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 0¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 100¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 0
- Volume (24h)
- 0
4.42% to 4.44%
ActiveYes
0.00%
No
100.00%
- Market Ticker
- KXTNOTED-26JAN22-B4.43
- Last Price
- 0¢ (0.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 0¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 100¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 0
- Volume (24h)
- 0
4.39% to 4.41%
ActiveYes
0.00%
No
100.00%
- Market Ticker
- KXTNOTED-26JAN22-B4.40
- Last Price
- 0¢ (0.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 0¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 100¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 0
- Volume (24h)
- 0
4.36% to 4.38%
ActiveYes
0.00%
No
100.00%
- Market Ticker
- KXTNOTED-26JAN22-B4.37
- Last Price
- 0¢ (0.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 0¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 100¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 0
- Volume (24h)
- 0
4.33% to 4.35%
ActiveYes
0.00%
No
100.00%
- Market Ticker
- KXTNOTED-26JAN22-B4.34
- Last Price
- 0¢ (0.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 0¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 100¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 0
- Volume (24h)
- 0
4.3% to 4.32%
ActiveYes
0.00%
No
100.00%
- Market Ticker
- KXTNOTED-26JAN22-B4.31
- Last Price
- 0¢ (0.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 0¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 100¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 0
- Volume (24h)
- 0
4.27% to 4.29%
ActiveYes
0.00%
No
100.00%
- Market Ticker
- KXTNOTED-26JAN22-B4.28
- Last Price
- 0¢ (0.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 0¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 100¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 0
- Volume (24h)
- 0
4.24% to 4.26%
ActiveYes
0.00%
No
100.00%
- Market Ticker
- KXTNOTED-26JAN22-B4.25
- Last Price
- 0¢ (0.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 0¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 100¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 0
- Volume (24h)
- 0
4.21% to 4.23%
ActiveYes
0.00%
No
100.00%
- Market Ticker
- KXTNOTED-26JAN22-B4.22
- Last Price
- 0¢ (0.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 0¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 100¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 0
- Volume (24h)
- 0
4.18% to 4.2%
ActiveYes
0.00%
No
100.00%
- Market Ticker
- KXTNOTED-26JAN22-B4.19
- Last Price
- 0¢ (0.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 0¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 100¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 0
- Volume (24h)
- 0
4.15% to 4.17%
ActiveYes
0.00%
No
100.00%
- Market Ticker
- KXTNOTED-26JAN22-B4.16
- Last Price
- 0¢ (0.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 0¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 100¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 0
- Volume (24h)
- 0
4.12% to 4.14%
ActiveYes
75.00%
No
25.00%
- Market Ticker
- KXTNOTED-26JAN22-B4.13
- Last Price
- 0¢ (0.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 50¢ / 100¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 50¢
- Open Interest
- 0
- Volume (24h)
- 0
Rules
If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury notes is above 4.50 % on Jan 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.