4.47% or above
ActiveYes
2.00%
No
98.00%
- Market Ticker
- KXTNOTEW-26JAN30-T4.46
- Last Price
- 0¢ (0.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 4¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 96¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 0
- Volume (24h)
- 0
KalshiActive
Treasury 10-year yield on Jan 30, 2026?
- Event Ticker
- KXTNOTEW-26JAN30
- Category
- Financials
- 24h Volume
- 0
- Expiration
- Feb 1, 2026, 6:00 AM
Probability History
Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy
- 4.47% or above
Latest: 0.00%
- 4.07% or below
Latest: 0.00%
- 4.44% to 4.46%
Latest: 0.00%
Market Overview
Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.
Markets
4.07% or below
ActiveYes
2.50%
No
97.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXTNOTEW-26JAN30-T4.08
- Last Price
- 0¢ (0.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 5¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 95¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 0
- Volume (24h)
- 0
4.44% to 4.46%
ActiveYes
2.00%
No
98.00%
- Market Ticker
- KXTNOTEW-26JAN30-B4.45
- Last Price
- 0¢ (0.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 4¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 96¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 0
- Volume (24h)
- 0
4.41% to 4.43%
ActiveYes
2.00%
No
98.00%
- Market Ticker
- KXTNOTEW-26JAN30-B4.42
- Last Price
- 0¢ (0.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 4¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 96¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 0
- Volume (24h)
- 0
4.38% to 4.4%
ActiveYes
2.50%
No
97.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXTNOTEW-26JAN30-B4.39
- Last Price
- 0¢ (0.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 5¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 95¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 0
- Volume (24h)
- 0
4.35% to 4.37%
ActiveYes
3.00%
No
97.00%
- Market Ticker
- KXTNOTEW-26JAN30-B4.36
- Last Price
- 0¢ (0.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 6¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 94¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 0
- Volume (24h)
- 0
4.32% to 4.34%
ActiveYes
4.50%
No
95.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXTNOTEW-26JAN30-B4.33
- Last Price
- 0¢ (0.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 9¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 91¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 0
- Volume (24h)
- 0
4.29% to 4.31%
ActiveYes
9.00%
No
91.00%
- Market Ticker
- KXTNOTEW-26JAN30-B4.30
- Last Price
- 0¢ (0.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 5¢ / 13¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 87¢ / 95¢
- Open Interest
- 0
- Volume (24h)
- 0
4.26% to 4.28%
ActiveYes
14.50%
No
85.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXTNOTEW-26JAN30-B4.27
- Last Price
- 0¢ (0.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 11¢ / 18¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 82¢ / 89¢
- Open Interest
- 0
- Volume (24h)
- 0
4.23% to 4.25%
ActiveYes
15.50%
No
84.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXTNOTEW-26JAN30-B4.24
- Last Price
- 0¢ (0.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 11¢ / 20¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 80¢ / 89¢
- Open Interest
- 0
- Volume (24h)
- 0
4.2% to 4.22%
ActiveYes
11.50%
No
88.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXTNOTEW-26JAN30-B4.21
- Last Price
- 0¢ (0.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 8¢ / 15¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 85¢ / 92¢
- Open Interest
- 0
- Volume (24h)
- 0
4.17% to 4.19%
ActiveYes
6.00%
No
94.00%
- Market Ticker
- KXTNOTEW-26JAN30-B4.18
- Last Price
- 0¢ (0.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 2¢ / 10¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 90¢ / 98¢
- Open Interest
- 0
- Volume (24h)
- 0
4.14% to 4.16%
ActiveYes
3.50%
No
96.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXTNOTEW-26JAN30-B4.15
- Last Price
- 0¢ (0.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 7¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 93¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 0
- Volume (24h)
- 0
4.11% to 4.13%
ActiveYes
2.50%
No
97.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXTNOTEW-26JAN30-B4.12
- Last Price
- 0¢ (0.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 5¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 95¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 0
- Volume (24h)
- 0
4.08% to 4.1%
ActiveYes
2.50%
No
97.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXTNOTEW-26JAN30-B4.09
- Last Price
- 0¢ (0.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 0¢ / 5¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 95¢ / 100¢
- Open Interest
- 0
- Volume (24h)
- 0
Rules
If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury notes is above 4.46 % on Jan 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.