U.S. is downgraded or defaults
ActiveYes
40.50%
No
59.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXCREDITRATING-26DEC31
- Last Price
- 43¢ (43.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 38¢ / 43¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 57¢ / 62¢
- Open Interest
- 7.27K
- Volume (24h)
- 1
KalshiActive
US credit rating downgrade in 2026?
- Event Ticker
- KXCREDITRATING-26DEC31
- Category
- Politics
- 24h Volume
- 1
- Expiration
- Jan 7, 2027, 3:00 PM
Probability History
Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy
- U.S. is downgraded or defaults
Latest: 0.00%
Market Overview
Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.
Markets
Rules
If U.S. credit is downgraded by any of the three major credit ratings agencies by December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.