KalshiActive

What state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic primary?

Event Ticker
KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28
Category
Politics
24h Volume
0
Expiration
Nov 7, 2028, 3:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

0%25%50%75%100%Aug 19Mar 12
  • What state will be first in the Democratic presidential primary?

    Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

What state will be first in the Democratic presidential primary?

Active

Yes

31.50%

No

68.50%

Market Ticker
KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28-SC
Last Price
(5.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
29¢ / 34¢
No Bid / Ask
66¢ / 71¢
Open Interest
1.43K
Volume (24h)
0

What state will be first in the Democratic presidential primary?

Active

Yes

6.00%

No

94.00%

Market Ticker
KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28-IA
Last Price
(7.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
93¢ / 95¢
Open Interest
376
Volume (24h)
0

What state will be first in the Democratic presidential primary?

Active

Yes

42.50%

No

57.50%

Market Ticker
KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28-NH
Last Price
40¢ (40.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
40¢ / 45¢
No Bid / Ask
55¢ / 60¢
Open Interest
192
Volume (24h)
0

What state will be first in the Democratic presidential primary?

Active

Yes

19.50%

No

80.50%

Market Ticker
KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28-NV
Last Price
14¢ (14.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
15¢ / 24¢
No Bid / Ask
76¢ / 85¢
Open Interest
55
Volume (24h)
0

What state will be first in the Democratic presidential primary?

Active

Yes

1.50%

No

98.50%

Market Ticker
KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28-IL
Last Price
(3.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
97¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
62
Volume (24h)
0

What state will be first in the Democratic presidential primary?

Active

Yes

1.50%

No

98.50%

Market Ticker
KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28-GA
Last Price
(3.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
97¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
62
Volume (24h)
0

What state will be first in the Democratic presidential primary?

Active

Yes

2.50%

No

97.50%

Market Ticker
KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28-MI
Last Price
(3.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
97¢ / 98¢
Open Interest
36
Volume (24h)
0

What state will be first in the Democratic presidential primary?

Active

Yes

2.50%

No

97.50%

Market Ticker
KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28-NM
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
95¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

What state will be first in the Democratic presidential primary?

Active

Yes

2.50%

No

97.50%

Market Ticker
KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28-VA
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
95¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

What state will be first in the Democratic presidential primary?

Active

Yes

2.50%

No

97.50%

Market Ticker
KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28-TN
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
95¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

What state will be first in the Democratic presidential primary?

Active

Yes

2.50%

No

97.50%

Market Ticker
KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28-NC
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
95¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

What state will be first in the Democratic presidential primary?

Active

Yes

2.50%

No

97.50%

Market Ticker
KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28-DE
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
95¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

Rules

If New Mexico is the first Democratic primary or caucus during the 2028 presidential cycle, then the market resolves to Yes.