KalshiActive

What will Powell say during his January press conference?

Name: What will Powell say during his January press conference?
Start: 2026-01-13T15:30:00Z
End: 2026-01-29T15:00:00Z

Event Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN
Category: Mentions
24h Volume: 503
Expiration: Jan 29, 2026, 3:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

Will Powell say Projection at his Jan 2026 press conference?
Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Will Powell say Trump at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

17.50%

82.50%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-TRUM
Last Price: 18¢ (18.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 17¢ / 18¢
No Bid / Ask: 82¢ / 83¢
Open Interest: 69.45K
Volume (24h): 2.32K

Will Powell say Good Afternoon at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

95.50%

4.50%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-GOOD
Last Price: 96¢ (96.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 95¢ / 96¢
No Bid / Ask: 4¢ / 5¢
Open Interest: 60K
Volume (24h): 3.03K

Will Powell say Projection at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

46.50%

53.50%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-PROJ
Last Price: 48¢ (48.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 46¢ / 47¢
No Bid / Ask: 53¢ / 54¢
Open Interest: 54.58K
Volume (24h): 2.51K

Will Powell say Median at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

43.50%

56.50%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-MEDI
Last Price: 44¢ (44.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 43¢ / 44¢
No Bid / Ask: 56¢ / 57¢
Open Interest: 42.39K
Volume (24h): 1.03K

Will Powell say Anchor at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

12.50%

87.50%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-ANCH
Last Price: 11¢ (11.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 12¢ / 13¢
No Bid / Ask: 87¢ / 88¢
Open Interest: 23.39K
Volume (24h): 290

Will Powell say Balance of Risk at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

94.50%

5.50%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-BALAR
Last Price: 95¢ (95.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 94¢ / 95¢
No Bid / Ask: 5¢ / 6¢
Open Interest: 18.39K
Volume (24h): 37

Will Powell say National Debt at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

8.50%

91.50%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-NATI
Last Price: 9¢ (9.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 7¢ / 10¢
No Bid / Ask: 90¢ / 93¢
Open Interest: 34.6K
Volume (24h): 1.94K

Will Powell say Consumer Confidence at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

16.50%

83.50%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-CONS
Last Price: 19¢ (19.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 14¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 86¢
Open Interest: 30.38K
Volume (24h): 428

Will Powell say Gold at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

13.50%

86.50%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-GOLD
Last Price: 14¢ (14.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 13¢ / 14¢
No Bid / Ask: 86¢ / 87¢
Open Interest: 31.63K
Volume (24h): 4.55K

Will Powell say Tariff Inflation at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

65.50%

34.50%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-TARI
Last Price: 65¢ (65.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 64¢ / 67¢
No Bid / Ask: 33¢ / 36¢
Open Interest: 14.53K
Volume (24h): 1.19K

Will Powell say Trade War at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

9.00%

91.00%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-TRAD
Last Price: 10¢ (10.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 8¢ / 10¢
No Bid / Ask: 90¢ / 92¢
Open Interest: 20.31K
Volume (24h): 627

Will Powell say Pandemic at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

62.00%

38.00%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-PAND
Last Price: 63¢ (63.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 61¢ / 63¢
No Bid / Ask: 37¢ / 39¢
Open Interest: 20.99K
Volume (24h): 436

Will Powell say Credit at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

62.50%

37.50%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-CRED
Last Price: 63¢ (63.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 62¢ / 63¢
No Bid / Ask: 37¢ / 38¢
Open Interest: 14.41K
Volume (24h): 59

Will Powell say Probability at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

38.00%

62.00%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-PROB
Last Price: 39¢ (39.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 36¢ / 40¢
No Bid / Ask: 60¢ / 64¢
Open Interest: 15.23K
Volume (24h): 2.6K

Will Powell say Egg at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

5.00%

95.00%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-EGG
Last Price: 6¢ (6.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 4¢ / 6¢
No Bid / Ask: 94¢ / 96¢
Open Interest: 17.14K
Volume (24h): 245

Will Powell say Bitcoin at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

6.00%

94.00%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-BITC
Last Price: 7¢ (7.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 5¢ / 7¢
No Bid / Ask: 93¢ / 95¢
Open Interest: 22.12K
Volume (24h): 1.63K

Will Powell say Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

17.50%

82.50%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-GAS
Last Price: 19¢ (19.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 16¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 84¢
Open Interest: 20.89K
Volume (24h): 1.01K

Will Powell say Soft Landing at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

8.00%

92.00%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-SOFT
Last Price: 9¢ (9.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 7¢ / 9¢
No Bid / Ask: 91¢ / 93¢
Open Interest: 15.37K
Volume (24h): 260

Will Powell say ADP at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

10.50%

89.50%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-ADP
Last Price: 12¢ (12.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 10¢ / 11¢
No Bid / Ask: 89¢ / 90¢
Open Interest: 9.32K
Volume (24h): 53

Will Powell say Unchanged at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

92.50%

7.50%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-UNCH
Last Price: 93¢ (93.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 92¢ / 93¢
No Bid / Ask: 7¢ / 8¢
Open Interest: 8.48K
Volume (24h): 1.3K

Will Powell say Shutdown / Shut Down at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

59.50%

40.50%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-SHUT
Last Price: 60¢ (60.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 58¢ / 61¢
No Bid / Ask: 39¢ / 42¢
Open Interest: 11.14K
Volume (24h): 196

Will Powell say Expectation at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

96.50%

3.50%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-EXPE
Last Price: 96¢ (96.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 96¢ / 97¢
No Bid / Ask: 3¢ / 4¢
Open Interest: 8.27K
Volume (24h): 56

Will Powell say Balance Sheet at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

88.50%

11.50%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-BALA
Last Price: 89¢ (89.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 88¢ / 89¢
No Bid / Ask: 11¢ / 12¢
Open Interest: 13.03K
Volume (24h): 10

Will Powell say Recession at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

30.50%

69.50%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-RECE
Last Price: 31¢ (31.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 29¢ / 32¢
No Bid / Ask: 68¢ / 71¢
Open Interest: 11.64K
Volume (24h): 20

Will Powell say Volatility at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

35.50%

64.50%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-VOLA
Last Price: 36¢ (36.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 35¢ / 36¢
No Bid / Ask: 64¢ / 65¢
Open Interest: 12.79K
Volume (24h): 1.83K

Will Powell say Tax at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

29.00%

71.00%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-TAX
Last Price: 31¢ (31.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 28¢ / 30¢
No Bid / Ask: 70¢ / 72¢
Open Interest: 12.16K
Volume (24h): 389

Will Powell say QE / Quantitative Easing at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

21.50%

78.50%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-QE
Last Price: 23¢ (23.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 21¢ / 22¢
No Bid / Ask: 78¢ / 79¢
Open Interest: 10.67K
Volume (24h): 177

Will Powell say AI / Artificial Intelligence at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

79.50%

20.50%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-AI
Last Price: 79¢ (79.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 79¢ / 80¢
No Bid / Ask: 20¢ / 21¢
Open Interest: 6.8K
Volume (24h): 6

Will Powell say Dot Plot at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

18.50%

81.50%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-DOT
Last Price: 19¢ (19.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 18¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 82¢
Open Interest: 7.39K
Volume (24h): 34

Will Powell say Yield Curve at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

16.50%

83.50%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-YIEL
Last Price: 17¢ (17.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 16¢ / 17¢
No Bid / Ask: 83¢ / 84¢
Open Interest: 8.36K
Volume (24h): 25

Will Powell say Dissent at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

40.50%

59.50%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-DISS
Last Price: 39¢ (39.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 39¢ / 42¢
No Bid / Ask: 58¢ / 61¢
Open Interest: 8.83K
Volume (24h): 1.41K

Will Powell say President at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

61.00%

39.00%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-PRES
Last Price: 64¢ (64.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 59¢ / 63¢
No Bid / Ask: 37¢ / 41¢
Open Interest: 10.24K
Volume (24h): 1.92K

Will Powell say Softening at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

61.50%

38.50%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-SOFTE
Last Price: 61¢ (61.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 61¢ / 62¢
No Bid / Ask: 38¢ / 39¢
Open Interest: 8.15K
Volume (24h): 107

Will Powell say Stagflation at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-STAG
Last Price: 10¢ (10.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 9¢ / 10¢
No Bid / Ask: 90¢ / 91¢
Open Interest: 8.54K
Volume (24h): 216

Will Powell say Beige Book at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

29.50%

70.50%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-BEIG
Last Price: 29¢ (29.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 29¢ / 30¢
No Bid / Ask: 70¢ / 71¢
Open Interest: 6.91K
Volume (24h): 259

Will Powell say Layoff at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

81.50%

18.50%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-LAYO
Last Price: 83¢ (83.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 82¢
No Bid / Ask: 18¢ / 19¢
Open Interest: 4.43K
Volume (24h): 119

Will Powell say QT / Quantitative Tightening at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

32.50%

67.50%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-QT
Last Price: 34¢ (34.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 32¢ / 33¢
No Bid / Ask: 67¢ / 68¢
Open Interest: 4.07K
Volume (24h): 2.87K

Will Powell say Restrictive at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

83.50%

16.50%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-REST
Last Price: 83¢ (83.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 83¢ / 84¢
No Bid / Ask: 16¢ / 17¢
Open Interest: 3.83K
Volume (24h): 408

Will Powell say Goods inflation at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

65.50%

34.50%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-GOODS
Last Price: 66¢ (66.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 65¢ / 66¢
No Bid / Ask: 34¢ / 35¢
Open Interest: 4.95K
Volume (24h): 26

Will Powell say Uncertainty at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

87.50%

12.50%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-UNCE
Last Price: 87¢ (87.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 87¢ / 88¢
No Bid / Ask: 12¢ / 13¢
Open Interest: 4.35K
Volume (24h): 97

Will Powell say Lawsuit at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

12.50%

87.50%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-LAWS
Last Price: 13¢ (13.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 12¢ / 13¢
No Bid / Ask: 87¢ / 88¢
Open Interest: 5.03K
Volume (24h): 503

Will Powell say Pardon at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

13.50%

86.50%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-PARD
Last Price: 15¢ (15.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 13¢ / 14¢
No Bid / Ask: 86¢ / 87¢
Open Interest: 2.82K
Volume (24h): 264

Will Powell say Renovation at his Jan 2026 press conference?

Active

Yes

23.50%

76.50%

Market Ticker: KXFEDMENTION-26JAN-RENO
Last Price: 24¢ (24.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 23¢ / 24¢
No Bid / Ask: 76¢ / 77¢
Open Interest: 3.91K
Volume (24h): 85

Rules

If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says Lawsuit at his Jan 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes.