KalshiActive

What will Trump say this week?

Event Ticker
KXTRUMPSAY-26JAN26
Category
Mentions
24h Volume
2.71K
Expiration
Jan 26, 2026, 3:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

0%25%50%75%100%Jan 19Jan 22
  • Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" before Jan 26, 2026?

    Latest: 0.00%

  • Will Trump say "Melania" before Jan 26, 2026?

    Latest: 0.00%

  • Will Trump say "Elon / Musk" before Jan 26, 2026?

    Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" before Jan 26, 2026?

Active

Yes

99.50%

No

0.50%

Market Ticker
KXTRUMPSAY-26JAN26-SLEE
Last Price
99¢ (99.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
No Bid / Ask
/
Open Interest
53.05K
Volume (24h)
52.77K

Will Trump say "Melania" before Jan 26, 2026?

Active

Yes

90.50%

No

9.50%

Market Ticker
KXTRUMPSAY-26JAN26-MELA
Last Price
91¢ (91.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
90¢ / 91¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 10¢
Open Interest
29.14K
Volume (24h)
19.68K

Will Trump say "Elon / Musk" before Jan 26, 2026?

Active

Yes

99.50%

No

0.50%

Market Ticker
KXTRUMPSAY-26JAN26-ELON
Last Price
99¢ (99.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
No Bid / Ask
/
Open Interest
16.52K
Volume (24h)
19.52K

Will Trump say "TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome" before Jan 26, 2026?

Active

Yes

99.50%

No

0.50%

Market Ticker
KXTRUMPSAY-26JAN26-TDS
Last Price
98¢ (98.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
No Bid / Ask
/
Open Interest
17.82K
Volume (24h)
19.49K

Will Trump say "Fake News" before Jan 26, 2026?

Active

Yes

99.50%

No

0.50%

Market Ticker
KXTRUMPSAY-26JAN26-FAKE
Last Price
99¢ (99.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
No Bid / Ask
/
Open Interest
18.47K
Volume (24h)
17.66K

Will Trump say "Rigged Election / Stolen Election" before Jan 26, 2026?

Active

Yes

99.50%

No

0.50%

Market Ticker
KXTRUMPSAY-26JAN26-RIGG
Last Price
99¢ (99.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
No Bid / Ask
/
Open Interest
14.49K
Volume (24h)
13.07K

Will Trump say "Somalia / Somali / Somalian" before Jan 26, 2026?

Active

Yes

99.50%

No

0.50%

Market Ticker
KXTRUMPSAY-26JAN26-SOMA
Last Price
99¢ (99.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
No Bid / Ask
/
Open Interest
14.46K
Volume (24h)
4.61K

Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" before Jan 26, 2026?

Active

Yes

99.50%

No

0.50%

Market Ticker
KXTRUMPSAY-26JAN26-CRYP
Last Price
99¢ (99.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
No Bid / Ask
/
Open Interest
5.37K
Volume (24h)
8.3K

Will Trump say "Transgender" before Jan 26, 2026?

Active

Yes

99.50%

No

0.50%

Market Ticker
KXTRUMPSAY-26JAN26-TRAN
Last Price
99¢ (99.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
No Bid / Ask
/
Open Interest
7.66K
Volume (24h)
7.99K

Will Trump say "Autopen / Auto Pen" before Jan 26, 2026?

Active

Yes

99.50%

No

0.50%

Market Ticker
KXTRUMPSAY-26JAN26-AUTO
Last Price
99¢ (99.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
No Bid / Ask
/
Open Interest
8.81K
Volume (24h)
8.7K

Will Trump say "IQ" before Jan 26, 2026?

Active

Yes

99.50%

No

0.50%

Market Ticker
KXTRUMPSAY-26JAN26-IQ
Last Price
99¢ (99.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
No Bid / Ask
/
Open Interest
5.83K
Volume (24h)
6.65K

Will Trump say "Mental Institution" before Jan 26, 2026?

Active

Yes

99.50%

No

0.50%

Market Ticker
KXTRUMPSAY-26JAN26-MENT
Last Price
99¢ (99.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
No Bid / Ask
/
Open Interest
5.72K
Volume (24h)
6.02K

Will Trump say "Thug" before Jan 26, 2026?

Active

Yes

99.50%

No

0.50%

Market Ticker
KXTRUMPSAY-26JAN26-THUG
Last Price
99¢ (99.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
No Bid / Ask
/
Open Interest
6.7K
Volume (24h)
6.53K

Will Trump say "Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis" before Jan 26, 2026?

Active

Yes

28.00%

No

72.00%

Market Ticker
KXTRUMPSAY-26JAN26-MARI
Last Price
30¢ (30.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
26¢ / 30¢
No Bid / Ask
70¢ / 74¢
Open Interest
3.15K
Volume (24h)
4.88K

Will Trump say "Maduro" before Jan 26, 2026?

Active

Yes

99.50%

No

0.50%

Market Ticker
KXTRUMPSAY-26JAN26-MADU
Last Price
99¢ (99.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
No Bid / Ask
/
Open Interest
4.83K
Volume (24h)
4.68K

Will Trump say "New York" before Jan 26, 2026?

Active

Yes

99.50%

No

0.50%

Market Ticker
KXTRUMPSAY-26JAN26-NEW
Last Price
99¢ (99.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
No Bid / Ask
/
Open Interest
4.2K
Volume (24h)
3.65K

Will Trump say "Epstein" before Jan 26, 2026?

Active

Yes

21.50%

No

78.50%

Market Ticker
KXTRUMPSAY-26JAN26-EPST
Last Price
23¢ (23.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
20¢ / 23¢
No Bid / Ask
77¢ / 80¢
Open Interest
3.2K
Volume (24h)
2.76K

Will Trump say "Stimulus / Dividend" before Jan 26, 2026?

Active

Yes

99.50%

No

0.50%

Market Ticker
KXTRUMPSAY-26JAN26-STIM
Last Price
99¢ (99.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
No Bid / Ask
/
Open Interest
3.36K
Volume (24h)
3.27K

Will Trump say "Communist / Communism" before Jan 26, 2026?

Active

Yes

99.50%

No

0.50%

Market Ticker
KXTRUMPSAY-26JAN26-COMM
Last Price
99¢ (99.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
No Bid / Ask
/
Open Interest
2.66K
Volume (24h)
3.44K

Will Trump say "TikTok" before Jan 26, 2026?

Active

Yes

49.50%

No

50.50%

Market Ticker
KXTRUMPSAY-26JAN26-TIKT
Last Price
51¢ (51.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
48¢ / 51¢
No Bid / Ask
49¢ / 52¢
Open Interest
2.14K
Volume (24h)
2.13K

Will Trump say "Who are you with / Where are you from" before Jan 26, 2026?

Active

Yes

99.50%

No

0.50%

Market Ticker
KXTRUMPSAY-26JAN26-WHO
Last Price
99¢ (99.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
No Bid / Ask
/
Open Interest
2.64K
Volume (24h)
2.71K

Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" before Jan 26, 2026?

Active

Yes

31.00%

No

69.00%

Market Ticker
KXTRUMPSAY-26JAN26-BARA
Last Price
30¢ (30.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
29¢ / 33¢
No Bid / Ask
67¢ / 71¢
Open Interest
1.88K
Volume (24h)
1.99K

Will Trump say "Newscum" before Jan 26, 2026?

Active

Yes

60.50%

No

39.50%

Market Ticker
KXTRUMPSAY-26JAN26-NEWS
Last Price
63¢ (63.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
57¢ / 64¢
No Bid / Ask
36¢ / 43¢
Open Interest
1.53K
Volume (24h)
2.18K

Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" before Jan 26, 2026?

Active

Yes

34.50%

No

65.50%

Market Ticker
KXTRUMPSAY-26JAN26-DRIL
Last Price
39¢ (39.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
33¢ / 36¢
No Bid / Ask
64¢ / 67¢
Open Interest
974
Volume (24h)
1.48K

Will Trump say "Predict / Prediction" before Jan 26, 2026?

Active

Yes

60.00%

No

40.00%

Market Ticker
KXTRUMPSAY-26JAN26-PRED
Last Price
62¢ (62.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
58¢ / 62¢
No Bid / Ask
38¢ / 42¢
Open Interest
1.27K
Volume (24h)
1.4K

Will Trump say "Olympics" before Jan 26, 2026?

Active

Yes

65.00%

No

35.00%

Market Ticker
KXTRUMPSAY-26JAN26-OLYM
Last Price
70¢ (70.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
62¢ / 68¢
No Bid / Ask
32¢ / 38¢
Open Interest
423
Volume (24h)
557

Rules

If Who are you with / Where are you from, or a plural or possessive form of Who are you with / Where are you from, is stated by Donald Trump after Jan 19, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Jan 26, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.