When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
ActiveYes
5.00%
No
95.00%
- Market Ticker
- KXQUANTUM-27
- Last Price
- 6¢ (6.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 4¢ / 6¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 94¢ / 96¢
- Open Interest
- 4.14K
- Volume (24h)
- 0
KalshiActive
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
- Event Ticker
- KXQUANTUM
- Category
- Science and Technology
- 24h Volume
- 3
- Expiration
- Jan 8, 2040, 3:00 PM
Probability History
Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy
- When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
Latest: 0.00%
Market Overview
Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.
Markets
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
ActiveYes
38.50%
No
61.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXQUANTUM-30
- Last Price
- 36¢ (36.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 36¢ / 41¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 59¢ / 64¢
- Open Interest
- 2.59K
- Volume (24h)
- 1
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
ActiveYes
47.00%
No
53.00%
- Market Ticker
- KXQUANTUM-35
- Last Price
- 44¢ (44.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 44¢ / 50¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 50¢ / 56¢
- Open Interest
- 1.98K
- Volume (24h)
- 0
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
ActiveYes
60.00%
No
40.00%
- Market Ticker
- KXQUANTUM-40
- Last Price
- 63¢ (63.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 57¢ / 63¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 37¢ / 43¢
- Open Interest
- 636
- Volume (24h)
- 3
Rules
If a quantum computer cracks 2048-bit RSA encryption using Shor's algorithm, or accurately simulates either the nitrogenase FeMo cofactor or cytochrome P450 enzyme before Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.