KalshiActive

When will xAI release Grok 4.2?

Event Ticker
KXGROK-GROK4.2
Category
Science and Technology
24h Volume
86
Expiration
Feb 2, 2026, 3:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

0%25%50%75%100%Dec 31Jan 26
  • Will xAI release Grok 4.2 before Jan 26, 2026?

    Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Will xAI release Grok 4.2 before Feb 1, 2026?

Active

Yes

15.50%

No

84.50%

Market Ticker
KXGROK-GROK4.2-26FEB01
Last Price
18¢ (18.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
14¢ / 17¢
No Bid / Ask
83¢ / 86¢
Open Interest
6.23K
Volume (24h)
1.56K

Will xAI release Grok 4.2 before Jan 26, 2026?

Active

Yes

5.00%

No

95.00%

Market Ticker
KXGROK-GROK4.2-26JAN26
Last Price
(9.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
93¢ / 97¢
Open Interest
4.96K
Volume (24h)
86

Will xAI release Grok 4.2 before Apr 21, 2026?

Active

Yes

91.50%

No

8.50%

Market Ticker
KXGROK-GROK4.2-26APR21
Last Price
93¢ (93.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
90¢ / 93¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 10¢
Open Interest
1.13K
Volume (24h)
162

Will xAI release Grok 4.2 before Jan 12, 2026?

Finalized

Yes

50.00%

No

50.00%

Market Ticker
KXGROK-GROK4.2-26JAN12
Last Price
(3.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
Open Interest
5.88K
Volume (24h)
0

Will xAI release Grok 4.2 before Jan 19, 2026?

Closed

Yes

50.00%

No

50.00%

Market Ticker
KXGROK-GROK4.2-26JAN19
Last Price
(3.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
Open Interest
5.05K
Volume (24h)
0

Will xAI release Grok 4.2 before Jan 5, 2026?

Finalized

Yes

50.00%

No

50.00%

Market Ticker
KXGROK-GROK4.2-26JAN05
Last Price
(1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
Open Interest
917
Volume (24h)
0

Rules

If xAI releases Grok 4.2 before Jan 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.