KalshiActive

Which brands will advertise during the Big Game 2026?

Event Ticker
KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2026
Category
Companies
24h Volume
311
Expiration
Feb 15, 2026, 3:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

0%25%50%75%100%Aug 26Feb 9
  • Will OpenAI run an ad during the Big Game 2026?

    Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Will Liquid Death run an ad during the Big Game 2026?

Active

Yes

97.50%

No

2.50%

Market Ticker
KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2026-LIQU
Last Price
97¢ (97.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
97¢ / 98¢
No Bid / Ask
/
Open Interest
87.33K
Volume (24h)
2.37K

Will Pepsi run an ad during the Big Game 2026?

Active

Yes

97.50%

No

2.50%

Market Ticker
KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2026-PEPSI
Last Price
98¢ (98.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
97¢ / 98¢
No Bid / Ask
/
Open Interest
54.28K
Volume (24h)
1.86K

Will OpenAI run an ad during the Big Game 2026?

Active

Yes

95.50%

No

4.50%

Market Ticker
KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2026-OPENAI
Last Price
97¢ (97.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
95¢ / 96¢
No Bid / Ask
/
Open Interest
59K
Volume (24h)
2.68K

Will Yeezy run an ad during the Big Game 2026?

Active

Yes

15.00%

No

85.00%

Market Ticker
KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2026-YEEZ
Last Price
14¢ (14.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
14¢ / 16¢
No Bid / Ask
84¢ / 86¢
Open Interest
41.49K
Volume (24h)
3.41K

Will Coinbase run an ad during the Big Game 2026?

Active

Yes

64.00%

No

36.00%

Market Ticker
KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2026-COIN
Last Price
65¢ (65.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
63¢ / 65¢
No Bid / Ask
35¢ / 37¢
Open Interest
32.94K
Volume (24h)
1.88K

Will Anthropic run an ad during the Big Game 2026?

Active

Yes

68.00%

No

32.00%

Market Ticker
KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2026-ANTHROPIC
Last Price
66¢ (66.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
66¢ / 70¢
No Bid / Ask
30¢ / 34¢
Open Interest
24.91K
Volume (24h)
3.48K

Will Temu run an ad during the Big Game 2026?

Active

Yes

53.50%

No

46.50%

Market Ticker
KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2026-TEMU
Last Price
56¢ (56.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
52¢ / 55¢
No Bid / Ask
45¢ / 48¢
Open Interest
25.71K
Volume (24h)
2.89K

:: An advertisement for Hims or Hers will count

Active

Yes

80.00%

No

20.00%

Market Ticker
KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2026-HIMS
Last Price
81¢ (81.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
79¢ / 81¢
No Bid / Ask
19¢ / 21¢
Open Interest
24.41K
Volume (24h)
5.05K

Will NVIDIA run an ad during the Big Game 2026?

Active

Yes

17.00%

No

83.00%

Market Ticker
KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2026-NVIDIA
Last Price
19¢ (19.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
15¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask
81¢ / 85¢
Open Interest
20.44K
Volume (24h)
273

Will Netflix run an ad during the Big Game 2026?

Active

Yes

71.50%

No

28.50%

Market Ticker
KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2026-NETF
Last Price
69¢ (69.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
70¢ / 73¢
No Bid / Ask
27¢ / 30¢
Open Interest
14.84K
Volume (24h)
693

Will T-Mobile run an ad during the Big Game 2026?

Active

Yes

91.50%

No

8.50%

Market Ticker
KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2026-TMOBILE
Last Price
88¢ (88.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
90¢ / 93¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 10¢
Open Interest
13.77K
Volume (24h)
176

Will Zyn run an ad during the Big Game 2026?

Active

Yes

11.50%

No

88.50%

Market Ticker
KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2026-ZYN
Last Price
12¢ (12.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
11¢ / 12¢
No Bid / Ask
88¢ / 89¢
Open Interest
7.08K
Volume (24h)
4.76K

Will Amazon Prime run an ad during the Big Game 2026?

Active

Yes

76.50%

No

23.50%

Market Ticker
KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2026-AMAZ
Last Price
79¢ (79.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
74¢ / 79¢
No Bid / Ask
21¢ / 26¢
Open Interest
4.33K
Volume (24h)
154

Will BlueChew run an ad during the Big Game 2026?

Active

Yes

44.50%

No

55.50%

Market Ticker
KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2026-BLUE
Last Price
47¢ (47.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
42¢ / 47¢
No Bid / Ask
53¢ / 58¢
Open Interest
1.9K
Volume (24h)
414

Will Tesla run an ad during the Big Game 2026?

Active

Yes

19.00%

No

81.00%

Market Ticker
KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2026-TESL
Last Price
18¢ (18.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
17¢ / 21¢
No Bid / Ask
79¢ / 83¢
Open Interest
2.05K
Volume (24h)
1.02K

Will Spotify run an ad during the Big Game 2026?

Active

Yes

55.00%

No

45.00%

Market Ticker
KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2026-SPOT
Last Price
56¢ (56.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
54¢ / 56¢
No Bid / Ask
44¢ / 46¢
Open Interest
1.72K
Volume (24h)
645

Will Disney+ run an ad during the Big Game 2026?

Active

Yes

78.50%

No

21.50%

Market Ticker
KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2026-DISN
Last Price
77¢ (77.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
77¢ / 80¢
No Bid / Ask
20¢ / 23¢
Open Interest
1.91K
Volume (24h)
572

Will Athletic Greens run an ad during the Big Game 2026?

Active

Yes

37.50%

No

62.50%

Market Ticker
KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2026-ATHL
Last Price
39¢ (39.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
36¢ / 39¢
No Bid / Ask
61¢ / 64¢
Open Interest
1.46K
Volume (24h)
537

:: Google AI model

Active

Yes

69.00%

No

31.00%

Market Ticker
KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2026-GEMI
Last Price
70¢ (70.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
68¢ / 70¢
No Bid / Ask
30¢ / 32¢
Open Interest
1.84K
Volume (24h)
371

Will Vuori run an ad during the Big Game 2026?

Active

Yes

36.00%

No

64.00%

Market Ticker
KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2026-VUOR
Last Price
38¢ (38.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
33¢ / 39¢
No Bid / Ask
61¢ / 67¢
Open Interest
1.25K
Volume (24h)
311

Will Grok run an ad during the Big Game 2026?

Active

Yes

25.50%

No

74.50%

Market Ticker
KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2026-GROK
Last Price
28¢ (28.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
23¢ / 28¢
No Bid / Ask
72¢ / 77¢
Open Interest
1.61K
Volume (24h)
289

Will Paramount+ run an ad during the Big Game 2026?

Active

Yes

71.50%

No

28.50%

Market Ticker
KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2026-PARA
Last Price
73¢ (73.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
71¢ / 72¢
No Bid / Ask
28¢ / 29¢
Open Interest
1.29K
Volume (24h)
283

Will SHEIN run an ad during the Big Game 2026?

Active

Yes

25.50%

No

74.50%

Market Ticker
KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2026-SHEI
Last Price
27¢ (27.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
23¢ / 28¢
No Bid / Ask
72¢ / 77¢
Open Interest
886
Volume (24h)
262

Will Perplexity AI run an ad during the Big Game 2026?

Active

Yes

29.00%

No

71.00%

Market Ticker
KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2026-PERP
Last Price
31¢ (31.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
27¢ / 31¢
No Bid / Ask
69¢ / 73¢
Open Interest
661
Volume (24h)
102

Rules

If Vuori airs a qualifying advertisement during the official national 2026 Big Game broadcast, then the market resolves to Yes.