KalshiActive

Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?

Name: Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?
Start: 2026-01-06T15:00:00Z
End: 2027-01-08T15:00:00Z

Event Ticker: KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01
Category: Politics
24h Volume: 0
Expiration: Jan 8, 2027, 3:00 PM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Iran?

Active

Yes

21.00%

79.00%

Market Ticker: KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-IRA
Last Price: 19¢ (19.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 18¢ / 24¢
No Bid / Ask: 76¢ / 82¢
Open Interest: 3.89K
Volume (24h): 0

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Venezuela?

Active

Yes

36.00%

64.00%

Market Ticker: KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-VEN
Last Price: 37¢ (37.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 33¢ / 39¢
No Bid / Ask: 61¢ / 67¢
Open Interest: 1.19K
Volume (24h): 235

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Ukraine?

Active

Yes

16.00%

84.00%

Market Ticker: KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-UKR
Last Price: 13¢ (13.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 13¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 87¢
Open Interest: 1.2K
Volume (24h): 0

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Somalia?

Active

Yes

11.50%

88.50%

Market Ticker: KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-SOM
Last Price: 79¢ (79.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 8¢ / 15¢
No Bid / Ask: 85¢ / 92¢
Open Interest: 847
Volume (24h): 0

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Lebanon?

Active

Yes

12.00%

88.00%

Market Ticker: KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-LEB
Last Price: 16¢ (16.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 9¢ / 15¢
No Bid / Ask: 85¢ / 91¢
Open Interest: 699
Volume (24h): 0

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Haiti?

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-HAI
Last Price: 6¢ (6.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 6¢ / 13¢
No Bid / Ask: 87¢ / 94¢
Open Interest: 406
Volume (24h): 0

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Iraq?

Active

Yes

7.00%

93.00%

Market Ticker: KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-IRQ
Last Price: 5¢ (5.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 5¢ / 9¢
No Bid / Ask: 91¢ / 95¢
Open Interest: 125
Volume (24h): 153

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Syria?

Active

Yes

14.50%

85.50%

Market Ticker: KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-SYR
Last Price: 13¢ (13.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 13¢ / 16¢
No Bid / Ask: 84¢ / 87¢
Open Interest: 124
Volume (24h): 0

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Afghanistan?

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-AFG
Last Price: 12¢ (12.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 6¢ / 13¢
No Bid / Ask: 87¢ / 94¢
Open Interest: 128
Volume (24h): 0

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Sudan?

Active

Yes

4.00%

96.00%

Market Ticker: KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-SUD
Last Price: 6¢ (6.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 1¢ / 7¢
No Bid / Ask: 93¢ / 99¢
Open Interest: 78
Volume (24h): 0

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Burma (Myanmar)?

Active

Yes

5.50%

94.50%

Market Ticker: KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-MYA
Last Price: 8¢ (8.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 2¢ / 9¢
No Bid / Ask: 91¢ / 98¢
Open Interest: 58
Volume (24h): 0

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Gaza?

Active

Yes

5.50%

94.50%

Market Ticker: KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-GAZ
Last Price: 8¢ (8.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 2¢ / 9¢
No Bid / Ask: 91¢ / 98¢
Open Interest: 22
Volume (24h): 0

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for North Korea?

Active

Yes

3.50%

96.50%

Market Ticker: KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-NKOR
Last Price: 1¢ (1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 1¢ / 6¢
No Bid / Ask: 94¢ / 99¢
Open Interest: 1
Volume (24h): 0

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Yemen?

Active

Yes

3.50%

96.50%

Market Ticker: KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-YEM
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 1¢ / 6¢
No Bid / Ask: 94¢ / 99¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for South Sudan?

Active

Yes

3.50%

96.50%

Market Ticker: KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-SSUD
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 1¢ / 6¢
No Bid / Ask: 94¢ / 99¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Russia?

Active

Yes

6.50%

93.50%

Market Ticker: KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-RUS
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 3¢ / 10¢
No Bid / Ask: 90¢ / 97¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Libya?

Active

Yes

6.50%

93.50%

Market Ticker: KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-LIB
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 3¢ / 10¢
No Bid / Ask: 90¢ / 97¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

Rules

If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Yemen after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.