KalshiActive

Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?

Event Ticker
KXEUEXITCOUNTRY-30
Category
Politics
24h Volume
47
Expiration
Jan 1, 2030, 3:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

0%25%50%75%100%Aug 19Mar 2
  • Will Hungary vote to leave the EU before 2030?

    Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Will Hungary vote to leave the EU before 2030?

Active

Yes

10.50%

No

89.50%

Market Ticker
KXEUEXITCOUNTRY-30-HUN
Last Price
13¢ (13.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 13¢
No Bid / Ask
87¢ / 92¢
Open Interest
3.08K
Volume (24h)
36

Will Italy vote to leave the EU before 2030?

Active

Yes

6.00%

No

94.00%

Market Ticker
KXEUEXITCOUNTRY-30-ITA
Last Price
(9.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
91¢ / 97¢
Open Interest
3.11K
Volume (24h)
52

Will Poland vote to leave the EU before 2030?

Active

Yes

4.50%

No

95.50%

Market Ticker
KXEUEXITCOUNTRY-30-POL
Last Price
(7.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
93¢ / 98¢
Open Interest
841
Volume (24h)
67

Will France vote to leave the EU before 2030?

Active

Yes

4.00%

No

96.00%

Market Ticker
KXEUEXITCOUNTRY-30-FRA
Last Price
(7.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
93¢ / 99¢
Open Interest
134
Volume (24h)
134

Will Germany vote to leave the EU before 2030?

Active

Yes

4.00%

No

96.00%

Market Ticker
KXEUEXITCOUNTRY-30-GER
Last Price
(7.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
93¢ / 99¢
Open Interest
67
Volume (24h)
67

Will Spain vote to leave the EU before 2030?

Active

Yes

7.00%

No

93.00%

Market Ticker
KXEUEXITCOUNTRY-30-SPA
Last Price
10¢ (10.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 10¢
No Bid / Ask
90¢ / 96¢
Open Interest
47
Volume (24h)
47

Rules

If Spain votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.