KalshiActive

Which parties will gain seats in the 2026 Japanese House of Representatives election?

Event Ticker
KXJAPANHOUSEGAIN-26FEB08
Category
Elections
24h Volume
2.25K
Expiration
Feb 8, 2027, 3:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

0%25%50%75%100%Jan 20Feb 13
  • :: Reiwa

    Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Will Sanseitō gain seats in the 2026 Japanese House of Representatives election?

Active

Yes

84.00%

No

16.00%

Market Ticker
KXJAPANHOUSEGAIN-26FEB08-SAN
Last Price
80¢ (80.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
81¢ / 87¢
No Bid / Ask
13¢ / 19¢
Open Interest
2.25K
Volume (24h)
2.25K

:: LDP

Active

Yes

78.50%

No

21.50%

Market Ticker
KXJAPANHOUSEGAIN-26FEB08-LDP
Last Price
82¢ (82.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
75¢ / 82¢
No Bid / Ask
18¢ / 25¢
Open Interest
1.03K
Volume (24h)
1.03K

:: Reiwa

Active

Yes

43.50%

No

56.50%

Market Ticker
KXJAPANHOUSEGAIN-26FEB08-RSHI
Last Price
39¢ (39.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
40¢ / 47¢
No Bid / Ask
53¢ / 60¢
Open Interest
300
Volume (24h)
458

:: JIP

Active

Yes

41.00%

No

59.00%

Market Ticker
KXJAPANHOUSEGAIN-26FEB08-NISH
Last Price
61¢ (61.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
37¢ / 45¢
No Bid / Ask
55¢ / 63¢
Open Interest
3
Volume (24h)
3

:: JCP

Active

Yes

33.00%

No

67.00%

Market Ticker
KXJAPANHOUSEGAIN-26FEB08-JCP
Last Price
0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
30¢ / 36¢
No Bid / Ask
64¢ / 70¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

:: DPP

Active

Yes

37.50%

No

62.50%

Market Ticker
KXJAPANHOUSEGAIN-26FEB08-DPFP
Last Price
0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
35¢ / 40¢
No Bid / Ask
60¢ / 65¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

Rules

If Sanseitō experiences a gain of seats in the 2026 Japanese House of Representatives election, then the market resolves to Yes.